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Analytics and Market news

Tuesday, 4 February 2014

Pre-market

ITT Investment group


Last closure
On Monday, February 3, trades in USA have come to the end with decrease, sending benchmark indexes to their biggest declines since June, as manufacturing in the world’s largest economy slowed more than estimated. The Institute for Supply Management’s factory index decreased to 51.3 from 56.5 the prior month, the Tempe. The median forecast called for a decrease to 56. Readings above 50 indicate expansion. Treasury Secretary Jacob J. Lew yesterday said the U.S. risks breaching the federal debt limit by the end of this month and called on Congress to raise it immediately to sustain economic momentum. The debt ceiling was suspended through Feb. 7 under an agreement between President Barack Obama and congressional Republicans in October. Telephone shares plunged after AT&T Inc. introduced new service plans, the latest in an escalating price war among wireless carriers. Ford Motor Co. and General Motors Co. fell at least 2.3% after reporting declines in January auto sales. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones has declined by 2.08%, S&P has lowered by 2.28%, Nasdaq has decreased by 2.61%.
European stocks declined, following their worst start to a year since 2010, as Lloyds Banking Group Plc dragged a gauge of banks lower and a report showed U.S. manufacturing expanded at the slowest pace in eight months. Markit said its purchasing managers' index for the euro zone's manufacturing sector rose to 54 from 52.7 in December, signaling the fastest expansion since May 2011. The reading was slightly above the preliminary estimate of 53.9 released last month. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion in activity. The euro zone's rebound was led by Germany, where the PMI rose to a 32-month high of 56.5 from 54.3. The rebound was also aided by an acceleration in Spain, while Italy's manufacturing sector slowed slightly and the contraction in France eased. Lloyds posted its biggest drop since September 2012 after saying it set aside 1.8 billion pounds ($2.9 billion) in the fourth quarter to cover the cost of compensating customers for mis-sold payment protection insurance. Colruyt SA tumbled the most in more than two years after cutting its annual profit forecast. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.69%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 1.39%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 1.29%.
Februarys’ contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $0.36 to $106.04 per barrel.

In Ukraine

Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by decrease, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.79% to 882.60. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 8.5 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 1.7 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 22.4 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, nine have declined in price. Shares of Alchevsk Metallurgical Plant remained unchanged. Worse than market looked shares of Ukrsotsbank (-5.95%) and Ukrnafta (-2.88%).
PJSC Raiffeisen Bank Aval will receive USD 55 million from the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development for the financing of small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in Ukraine.

Premarket
External background at the opening is negative. The monetary base in Japan spiked 51.9% on year in January, the Bank of Japan said on Tuesday, coming in at 200.414 trillion yen. That follows the 46.6% surge in December, which stood at 193.459 trillion yen. The Asian indexes are decreasing today. Nikkei has lowered by 4.18%, Hong Kong Hang Seng declining by 2.86%.
Futures on American indexes are slightly growing today from 0.2% to 0. 3%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 a.m. are decreasing — RTS decreasing by 1.52%, MICEX lowers by 0.73%.

Our expectations

We expect opening of the Ukrainian market by decrease.
In Europe will be published construction purchasing manager's index in the U.K. (11:30 a.m.) and producer price index in the E.U. (12:00 a.m.)
In the U.S. will be published factory orders (05:00 p.m.).
Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Jeffrey Lacker speech on the economic outlook in Winchester, Virginia will start at 04:00 p.m.

ITT Investment group

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