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Analytics and Market news

Thursday, 13 February 2014

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure
On Wednesday, February 12, trades in USA have come to the end with mixed dynamics, treasuries slid amid comments from Federal Reserve officials signaling continued stimulus cuts, while Chinese data spurred a rally in copper. Amazon.com Inc. fell after an analyst downgrade and Procter & Gamble Co. tumbled after cutting its earnings forecast. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said he expects U.S. output to grow 3% this year, after Fed Chair Janet Yellen said only a “notable change” in economic prospects would lead policy makers to slow the pace of reductions. The Senate cleared a measure suspending the U.S. debt limit for President Barack Obama’s signature. China’s export and import growth unexpectedly accelerated in January. Overseas shipments from China rose 10.6% from a year earlier, compared with the median projection of economists for a 0.1% gain. Imports advanced 10%, leaving a trade surplus of $31.9 billion, the widest for January since 2009. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones has declined by 0.19%, S&P has lowered by 0.03%, Nasdaq grew by 0.24%.
European stock exchanges closed with growth of main indexes, as companies from ING Groep NV to Societe Generale SA posted profit that beat estimates, and a report showed Chinese exports surged. Efforts to streamline the resolution of failing financial institutions at the European level go in the right direction, but could be improved, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said Wednesday. Mr. Draghi said the proposed Single Resolution Mechanism with its single resolution fund will improve governments’ debt sustainability since the SRM will help take the burden of cleaning up bank failures off the public purse. Industrial production declined in the European Union from November to December. Production fell 0.7% month-to-month in both the 28-member European Union and the 18-member eurozone, the countries that share the euro as currency. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 0.04%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 0.52%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 0.65%.
Februarys’ contractual price on Brent oil, grew by $0.11 to $108.79 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by growth, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has increased by 1.82% to 921.95. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 3.1 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 3.4 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 15.7 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, eight have grown in price. Leaders of growth were shares of Centerenergo (+3.37%) and Ukrnafta (+2.89%). Worse than market looked shares of Ukrsotsbank (-1.12%).

Premarket
External background at the opening is negative. Germany's EU harmonized inflation held steady in January, in line with the preliminary estimates. The harmonized index of consumer prices advanced 1.2% annually in January, which was unchanged from the December growth rate.
The Asian indexes are decreasing today. Nikkei has lowered by 1.79%, Hong Kong Hang Seng declining by 0.77%.
Futures on American indexes are decreasing today from 0.40% to 0.38%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 a.m. are decreasing— RTS decreasing by 0.48%, MICEX lowers by 0.35%.

Our expectations

We expect opening of the Ukrainian market by decrease.
In Europe will be published European Central Bank's (ECB) monthly report (11:30 a.m.).
In the U.S. will be published initial jobless claims (03:30 p.m.), retail sales (03:30 p.m.).
Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen delivers second part of the semi-annual monetary policy testimony before Senate Banking Committee in Washington will start at 03:30 p.m.


ITT Investment group

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