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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 17 February 2014

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure
On Friday, February 16, trades in USA have come to the end with growth. Emerging-market equities capped the biggest weekly gain in five months, and gold and silver rallied. Consumer confidence in the U.S. was stronger than projected in February as Americans grew more upbeat about the economy. Factory output unexpectedly declined in January by the most since May 2009, adding to evidence severe winter weather weighed on growth. The euro-area’s gross domestic product expanded 0.3% in the fourth quarter, up from 0.1% in the previous three months. The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of U.S. consumer sentiment was unchanged in February from a month earlier at 81.2. The median estimate called for a decline to 80.2. Forecasts ranged from 76.5 to 86. The 0.8% decrease at manufacturers followed a revised 0.3% gain the prior month that was weaker than initially reported. The median forecast called for a 0.1% advance. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 0.79%, S&P has increased by 0.48%, Nasdaq grew by 0.08%.
European stock exchanges closed with growth of main indexes, as better-than-forecast euro-area economic growth and U.S. consumer-confidence reports outweighed worse-than-estimated U.S. industrial output data. The euro-area economy expanded faster in the final quarter of 2013 than economists forecast, led by Germany and France. Gross domestic product in the euro zone rose 0.3% after a 0.1% increase in the third quarter, beating the median forecast of 0.2%. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 0.06%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 0.63%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 0.68%.
Februarys’ contractual price on Brent oil, remain unchanged at $108.73 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.04% to 927.37. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 4.7 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 3.1 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 18.8 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, five have grown in price. Leaders of growth were shares of Motor Sich (+1.71%) and Donbasenergo (+1.18%). Worse than market looked shares of Ukrsotsbank (-3.19%) and Azovstal Iron and Steel Works (-2%).
Deficit of foreign trade balance of Ukraine reduced by USD 509.5 last year and made up USD 8.475 billion. Deficit of trade in goods and services with the CIS countries reduced almost threefold to USD 1.5 billion (USD 4.4 billion in 2012). With other world countries, deficit grew by 1.5 fold to USD 6.9 billion, including with the EU countries - by 21.3% to USD 10.8 billion. Fitch Ratings has downgraded 13 Ukrainian banks' Long-term foreign currency Issuer Default Ratings to 'CCC' from 'B-'.

Premarket
External background at the opening is positive. Japan's economy grew 0.3% in October-December from the previous quarter, posting the fourth straight quarter of expansion. The preliminary estimate of gross domestic product compared with 0.7% growth expected. Japan industrial production climbed 1.1% in December, narrowly missing expectations for 1.3%. It was a jump up from the 0.1% decline experienced in November.
The Asian indexes are growing today. Nikkei rose by 0.56%, Hong Kong Hang Seng declining increasing by 0.%.
Futures on American indexes are slightly changing growing today.
Russian indexes as of 9:45 a.m. are rising — RTS increasing by 0.59%, MICEX growing by 0.8%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market by growth.
In the U.S. stock markets are closed on Feb 17th for Washington's birthday.

ITT Investment group

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