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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 16 June 2014

Премаркет

ITT Investment group


Last closure
On Friday, Jun 13, trades in USA have come to the end with growth, as a rally in Intel Corp. and corporate deals overshadowed concern that violence in Iraq will disrupt oil supplies. Islamist fighters in Iraq extended their advance, entering two northeastern towns as government forces failed to halt an offensive that triggered concern over a civil war and prompted the U.S. not to rule out airstrikes. U.S. producer prices fell in May after two month of solid gains, but the decline was not enough to change perceptions that inflation pressures are steadily creeping up. Producer price index for final demand slipped 0.2% after advancing in April by 0.6%, which was the largest gain in 1-1/2 years. U.S. consumers remained uncertain about the economy at the start of June. The Thomson-Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary June sentiment index unexpectedly slipped to 81.2 from a final- May reading of 81.9, according to an economist who has seen the numbers. Intel jumped the most in three years after raising its sales forecasts for the second quarter and the full year. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 0.25%, S&P has increased by 0.31%, Nasdaq grew by 0.30%.
European stock exchanges closed with decrease of main indexes, as escalating violence in Iraq threatened oil supplies. French payroll employment declined in the first quarter as job creation decreased in all sectors of the economy. Payroll employment in principally market sectors decreased by 0.1% or 21,700 from the prior quarter. This was followed by a 0.1% or 21,000 increase in the previous quarter. German consumer prices rose year-over-year in May confirming the preliminary estimates. Consumer prices rose by an unrevised 0.9% in May, a slower rate of increase than the 1.3% rise in April. This was the slowest rate of increase since June 2010. On a month-over-month basis, prices fell 0.1% in May, confirming the preliminary estimates. The consumer price index in Italy slid by 0.1% in May compared to the previous month and by 0.5% year-on-year. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.95%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 0.24%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 0.26%.
Julys’ contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $0.39 to $113.41 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.53% to 1235.59. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 6.9 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 6.6 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 36.7 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, two have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Motor Sich (+0.77%). Worse than market looked shares of Enakievo Metallurgical Plant (-2.07%).
In May, the National Bank recorded growth of private hryvnia deposits by nearly UAH 1.3 billion or 0.7%. Growth of corporate deposits amounted to UAH 3.7 billion or 2.3%. It shows strengthening of confidence in the banking system in general and in the national currency in particular.

Premarket

External background at the opening is negative. Russian natural gas exporter Gazprom will halt supplies to Ukraine if it fails to pay off part of its gas debts by Monday. It earlier warned it could cut supply if Ukraine failed to pay $1.95bn by 10:00 AM. Energy and Coal Industry Ministry, Economic Development and Trade Ministry, Regional Development, Construction and Housing and Communal Services Ministry, Naftogaz of Ukraine and the regional state administrations must be prepared to work in the conditions that supply of Russian gas is stopped from Monday, June 16. Prime Minister Arseniy Yatseniuk gave this instruction, the government portal reports. Ukraine is ready to pay $1.9 billion to Russia for gas consumed if an agreement on the interim price of $326 per 1,000 cubic meters is reached.
The Asian indexes are showing mixed dynamics today. Nikkei has lowered by 1.09%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 0.02%.
Futures on American indexes are decreasing today from 0.19% to 0.23%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 a.m. are decreasing — RTS decreasing by 2.53%, MICEX lowers by 1.90%.

Our expectations

We expect opening of the Ukrainian market by decrease.
In Europe will be published Consumer Price Index in the E.U. (12:00 AM).
In the U.S. will be published Empire State manufacturing index (3:30 PM), Treasury International Capital (4:00 PM), Industrial production (4:15 PM) and data on National Association of Home Builders produces a housing market index (5:00 PM).

ITT Investment group

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