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Analytics and Market news

Tuesday, 1 July 2014

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure
On Monday, Jun 30, trades in USA have come to the end with mixed dynamics, as housing data beat estimates to offset a weaker-than-forecast manufacturing reading. A gauge of pending home sales jumped 6.1% in May to reach the highest level in eight months, signaling that upcoming closings of existing homes are likely to speed up. The index of pending home sales hit 103.9 in May, compared with 97.9 in April. Chicago purchasing managers' index slumped to a seasonally adjusted 62.6 this month from a reading of 65.5 in May. Analysts had expected the index to decline to 63.0 in June. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones has declined by 0.15%, S&P has lowered by 0.04%, Nasdaq grew by 0.23%.
European stock exchanges closed with mixed dynamics of main indexes, as contracts to buy previously owned U.S. houses jumped in May by the most in four years. Sales of retail sector in Germany declined for a second straight month in May. Retail sales in the Europe's largest economy shrank by 0.6% in May compared with the previous month when adjusted for inflation, calendar and seasonal variations. Euro-zone inflation remains very subdued, stuck at the multi-year low of 0.5%. However, core inflation rose from the multi-year lows of 0.7% to 0.8%. Officially, a headline CPI of 0.6% was expected but it remained at 0.5% like in May. Core CPI rose to 0.8%, beating expectations of 0.7%. Economists had expected the sales to rose by 0.8%, following a month-on-month decline of 0.9% in April.
On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.20%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 0.32%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 0.18%.
Augusts’ contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $0.94 to $112.36 per barrel.

In Ukraine
On Friday, Jun 27, trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by growth, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.60% to 1226.69. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 10.8 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 7 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 63.3 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, six have retreated. Leaders of growth were shares of Ukrsotsbank (+1.82%). Worse than market, looked shares of Ukrnafta (-3.22%) and Enakievo Metallurgical Plant (-2.21%).
Ukraine's national budget in May saw UAH 5.29 billion in deficit compared to UAH 2.8 billion in April. According to the ministry, in January-May 2014, the deficit of the national budget came to UAH 12.22 billion, which is 33.9% down the deficit in January-May 2013, or 17.8% of the annual indicator (UAH 65.56 billion).

Premarket
External background at the opening is neutral. Following a meeting of the National Security and Defense Council on June 30, Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko has decided to end a unilateral ceasefire in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions. Thus, the term of the ceasefire announced by the president on June 20 and extended until 22.00 Kyiv time on June 30 is considered as expired. China's official manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index rose to 50.8 in May compared with 50.4 in April. A preliminary reading of the HSBC PMI rose to a five-month high of 49.7 in May, from a final figure of 48.1 in April.
The Asian indexes are showing mixed dynamics today. Nikkei rose by 1.08%, Hong Kong Hang Seng declining by 0.13%.
Futures on American indexes are growing today from 0.15% to 0.19%.
Russian indexes as of 10:01 a.m. are decreasing — RTS decreasing by 1.47%, MICEX lowers by 0.91%.

Our expectations

We expect opening of the Ukrainian market by decrease.
In Europe will be published Manufacturing PMI in Spain (10:13 AM), Italy (10:45 AM), France (10:50 AM), Germany (10:55 AM) and in the E.U. (11:00 AM). Also will be published German Unemployment Change (10:55 AM) and Unemployment Rate in the E.U. (12:00 AM)
In the U.S. will be published Institute of Supply Management Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (5:00 PM).

ITT Investment group

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