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Analytics and Market news

Thursday, 7 August 2014

Pre-market

ITT Investment group


Last closure
On Wednesday, August 6, U.S. stocks were little changed near a two-month low, as escalating tension between Russia and western nations over Ukraine damped demand for riskier assets. NATO said there’s a risk of Russia sending troops into Ukraine after President Vladimir Putin massed troops on his country’s western border. U.S. trade deficit in June narrowed to $41.5 billion. Expectations were for the trade deficit to widen some to $44.8 billion. The deficit for May was revised to $44.7 billion from $44.4 billion. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 0.08%, S&P ramained unchanged, Nasdaq grew by 0.05%.
European stock exchanges closed with decrease of main indexes, as concern mounted about a buildup of Russian troops along the border with Ukraine, and a report showed German factory orders unexpectedly fell. Putin is showing no sign of backing down over Ukraine, and said his government has proposed retaliatory measures after the U.S. and the European Union tightened sanctions last week. It is drawing up a list of restricted goods, aimed at banning or limiting food and agricultural imports for one year from countries that have imposed or supported sanctions, according to the Kremlin website. German industrial orders fell for the second consecutive month in June at a rate of 3.2%, following a similar 1.6% contraction in May. According to the data, orders contracted at their fastest pace since September 2011, disappointing analysts who had predicted gains of 0.9% in a consensus forecast. UK industrial production rose 0.3% in June, from a 0.6% fall in May. The market expected an increase of 0.6%. Manufacturing output rose 0.3% in June, about half the rise anticipated. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.69%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 0.61%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 0.65%.
Septembers’ contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $0.02 to $104.59 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed with negative dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.78% to 1282.49. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 4.6 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 3.3 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 27.3 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, seven retreated. Leaders of growth were shares of Enakievo Metallurgical Plant (+1.65%). Worse than market looked shares of Centerenergo (-1.97%).
In July 2014, consumer prices rose by 0.4%. In July, prices for foodstuffs and soft drinks fell by 0.7%, for clothes and footwear fell by 3.2%, for municipal services rose by 4%, for health care services rose by 1.2%; and for education services rose by 0.1%. The National Bank of Ukraine decreased the official hryvnia exchange rate against dollar by UAH 0.6 to UAH 12.36/ US $1. This is the lowest indicator since April 16 the current year.

Premarket
External background at the opening is negative. Factory production in Germany increased 0.3% on the month in June in adjusted terms. Experts had expected a 1.4% increase.
The Asian indexes are showing mixed dynamics today. Nikkei rose by 0.48%, Hong Kong Hang Seng declining by 0.77%.
Futures on American indexes are growing today from 0.05% to 0.11%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 a.m. are decreasing — RTS decreasing by 0.55%, MICEX lowers by 0.46%.

Our expectations

We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe will be published rate decisions from the Bank of England (2:00 PM) and European Central Bank (2:45 PM).
In the U.S. will be published initial jobless claims (3:30 PM).

ITT Investment group

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