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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 11 August 2014

Pre-market

ITT Investment group


Last closure
On Friday, August 8, trades in USA have come to the end with growth, as conflict between Russia and Ukraine is cooling. Stocks jumped after RIA Novosti reported that Russia seeks a de-escalation of the conflict in Ukraine. Equities extended gains as Interfax, citing Russia’s Defense Ministry, said military exercises held since Aug. 4 near the Ukraine border are over and forces are returning to areas of permanent deployment. Equity futures retreated as President Barack Obama approved air strikes in Iraq, and rocket attacks marked the end of a cease-fire between Israel and Hamas. Gap Inc. advanced 5.9% as the retailer’s earnings and revenue topped estimates. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 1.13%, S&P has increased by 1.15%, Nasdaq grew by 0.83%.
European stock exchanges closed with decrease of main indexes, as European Central Bank President Mario Draghi said that geopolitical risks in countries such as Ukraine could hurt the economic recovery. Data in the week showed German industrial output grew less than forecast in June, while a report indicated Italy unexpectedly slipped back into recession. Germany's trade surplus narrowed in June, as imports grew faster than exports. In seasonally adjusted terms, Germany exported goods worth a total of 93.7-billion euros in June, up 0.9% from the figure for May. Imports grew by 4.5% to 77.4-billion euros. The UK's trade deficit widened slightly in June as exports of goods fell to £9.4bn, from £9.2bn in May.  Exports of goods fell by £0.4bn, which reflected falls in oil and manufactured goods. The deficit on trade in goods and services was £2.5bn in June, up slightly from May's deficit of £2.4bn. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.45%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 0.05%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 0.33%.
Septembers’ contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $0.42 to $105.02 per barrel.

In Ukraine

Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has increased by 0.07% to 1266.55. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 9.3 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 5.9 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 36.3 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, six have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Ukrnafta (+4.41%). Worse than market looked shares of Motor Sich (-3.66%).
The Cabinet of Ministers has approved a list of 26 sanctions and a list of 172 citizens of Russia and other countries financing terrorism, encroaching on the territorial integrity and those against whom we should impose sanctions. The National Bank of Ukraine forecasts that GDP will grow by 1% next year. The Cabinet of Ministers' forecast of Ukraine's real GDP growth in 2015 is at the level of 1.7%, annual inflation at the level of 5.4%

Premarket
External background at the opening is positive.
The Asian indexes are growing today. Nikkei rose by 2.38%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 1.29%.
Futures on American indexes are growing today from 0.18% to 0.26%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 a.m. are rising — RTS increasing by 2.68%, MICEX growing by 1.92%.

Our expectations

We expect opening of the Ukrainian market by growth.
Federal Reserve Vice Chair Stanley Fischer speech on the great recession to Sweden Finance Ministry conference in Stockholm.


ITT Investment group

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