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Analytics and Market news

Thursday, 28 August 2014

Pre-market

ITT Investment group


Last closure
On Thursday, August 27, trades in USA have come to the end with mixed dynamics. Global markets are surmounting crises in Ukraine, the Gaza Strip and Iraq as investors renew bets that stimulus will revive growth. The U.S. Energy Information Administration released its weekly petroleum status report. U.S. commercial crude inventories decreased by 2.1 million barrels last week, maintaining a total U.S. commercial crude inventory to 360.5 million barrels, and they have moved down into the upper half of the five-year range for this time of the year. Applications for U.S. home mortgages fell last week as both purchase and refinancing applications declined. The Mortgage Bankers Association said its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage application activity, which includes both refinancing and home purchase demand, fell 2.7% in the week ended Aug. 8. The MBA's seasonally adjusted index of refinancing applications fell 4.0%, while the gauge of loan requests for home purchases, a leading indicator of home sales, fell 1.0%. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 0.09%, S&P has increased by 0.01%, Nasdaq has decreased by 0.02%.
European stock exchanges closed with mixed dynamics of main indexes, as signs of progress in talks between Russia and Ukraine offset worse-than-projected German confidence data. Russian President Vladimir Putin said he held positive talks with Ukrainian counterpart Petro Poroshenko over tensions between the two countries. German consumer confidence is expected to decline in September as international upheaval weighs on sentiment, casting doubt on hopes that domestic consumption will offset export weakness in Europe's largest economy. The monthly GfK survey showed consumer confidence falling to 8.6 in September from 8.9 in August. It was the first decline in the consumer climate indicator since January 2013. GfK uses survey data from the current month to derive a figure for the month to come. Confidence among French manufacturers fell slightly in August as they became less optimistic about their outlook. Confidence among manufacturers dropped further below the long-term average of 100 to 96 in August from 97 in July. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 0.12%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 0.04%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 0.19%.
Septembers’ contractual price on Brent oil, grew by $0.22 to $102.72 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by growth, day passed with positive dynamics. Value of the UX index has increased by 2.06% to 1252.69. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 9 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 5.1 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 68.3 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, seven have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Ukrnafta (+6.21%), Motor Sich (+5.44%) and Ukrsotsbank (+5.29%). Worse than market looked shares of Raiffeisen Bank Aval (-0.65%) and Donbasenergo (-0.62%).
The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine approved the forecast of economic and social development of Ukraine at 8.7% inflation in 2015. The government expects the nominal GDP to be at the level UAH 1.75 tn next year. All chemical and coking plants in Luhansk and Donetsk regions were stalled as of Wednesday, Security & Defense Council spokesman Andriy Lysenko has said. He said that militants in Donetsk region had shelled the villages of Starobesheve, Novy Svit, Komsomolske, as a result of which dozens of civilians were killed, private houses and local Pension Fund facilities were destroyed.

Premarket
External background at the opening is moderately negative. Pushing west in a new offensive along Ukraine's strategic coastline, heavily armed Russian-backed separatist forces captured new territory Wednesday far from their previous battles with government troops. After a third day of heavy shelling that sent many residents fleeing, rebel fighters with dozens of tanks and armoured vehicles entered Novoazovsk.
The Asian indexes are decreasing today. Nikkei has lowered by 0.48%, Hong Kong Hang Seng declining by 0.54%.
Futures on American indexes are decreasing today from 0.03% to 0.05%.
Russian indexes as of 9:52 a.m. are decreasing — RTS decreasing by 1.16%, MICEX lowers by 0.83%.

Our expectations

We expect opening of the Ukrainian market decrease.
In Europe will be published German Unemployment Change (10:55 AM) and Consumer Confidence in the E.U. (12:00 AM).
In the U.S. will be published initial jobless claims (3:30 PM), GDP (3:30 PM), and data on pending home sales (5:00 PM).

ITT Investment group

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