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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 22 December 2014

Pre-market

ITT Investment group


Last closure
On Friday, December 19, trades in USA have come to the end with growth, as expectations that monetary policy will remain easy among major central banks for the foreseeable future. The Kansas City Federal Reserve Bank said that manufacturing activity picked up somewhat in December. The composite index of general business conditions increased from 7 in November to 8 in December, accelerating for the second straight month. More importantly, the indices for new orders (up from 1 to 12) and shipments (up from 7 to 15) reflect some strengthening in demand and output after a weaker-than-desired October and November in the district. On Friday, energy stocks were the best performing sector, gaining 3.1%, on higher oil prices. U.S. crude-oil futures rose 4.5% to $56.52 a barrel. For the week, energy stocks rose 9.7%, but the group is still down 12.8% over the last three months. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 0.15%, S&P has increased by 0.46%, Nasdaq grew by 0.36%.
European stock exchanges closed with mixed dynamics of main indexes, capping their biggest four-day rally in more than two years. Data earlier showed that the Gfk German consumer climate index rose to a six-month high of 9.0 in December from a reading of 8.7 the previous month. Analysts had expected the index to tick up to 8.9 this month. The eurozone's current account surplus has dropped back from the record high it hit in September. That should partly ease concerns about the euroglut in the global economy that has been created by chronically weak consumer demand in Europe. The surplus was €20.5bn in October, down from €32bn in September. Economists polled by Reuters had expected a €28bn surplus. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 1.23%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 0.18%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 0.25%.
Januarys’ contractual price on Brent oil, grew by $2.11 to $61.38 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by growth, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.08% to 1002.38. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 6.6 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 14.9 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 42.1 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, five have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Ukrnafta (+6.08%). Worse than market looked shares of Alchevsk Metallurgical Plant (-4.52%).

Premarket
External background at the opening is positive. Standard & Poor’s ratings agency has downgraded the credit rating for Ukraine to CCC- with a negative outlook, warning the country against its melting foreign currency reserves. The downgrade comes as the International Monetary Fund earlier Friday praised Ukraine's efforts to reform and stabilize its economy, which is likely to contract by at least 7% this year. The country is suffering from its conflict with pro-Russian separatists backed by Russia. The Asian indexes are growing today. Nikkei rose by 0.08%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 1.30%.
Futures on American indexes are growing today from 0.06% to 0.10%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 AM are rising — MICEX increasing by 0.42%, RTS growing by 5.69%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market by decrease.
In Europe will be published consumer confidence in the E.U. (5:00 PM).
In the U.S. will be published existing home sales (5:00 PM).

ITT Investment group

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