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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 19 January 2015

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure
On Friday, January16, trades in USA have come to the end with growth, as a rally in oil prices and calmer currency markets provided a rare boost of confidence. The Federal Reserve's policy-setting committee has failed to shift market expectations on the timing and path of an expected interest rate hike this year. St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said the Fed's misreading of labor market strength and overestimation of inflation are among the reasons for the market's disconnect with where the Fed is headed on rates. Consumer Price Index fell 0.4% last month, the largest drop since December 2008, after sliding 0.3% in November. In the 12 months through December, CPI increased 0.8%. It was the weakest year-on-year reading since October 2009, and followed a 1.3% rise in November. Last month’s readings were in line with expectations. U.S. industrial production in the month of December. The report said industrial production edged down by 0.1% in December after surging up by 1.3% in November. The modest pullback matched economist estimates. Meanwhile, the Fed said capacity utilization fell to 79.7% in December from a revised 80.0% in November. The Preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment for January came in at 98.1, a strong surge from last month's final reading of 93.6. This is the highest level of sentiment in eleven years. Today's sentiment level came in substantially above the Investing.com forecast of 94.1. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 1.10%, S&P has increased by 1.34%, Nasdaq grew by 1.39%.
European stock exchanges closed with growth of main indexes. Final reading for Eurozone annual inflation came in at -0.2% in December 2014, down from 0.3% in November. This was the lowest rate recorded since September 2009. In December 2013 the rate was 0.8%. European Union annual inflation was -0.1% in December 2014, down from 0.3% in November. A year earlier the rate was 1.0%. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 0.79%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 1.31%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 1.35%.
Februarys’ contractual price on Brent oil, grew by $0.02 to $47.69 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.34% to 1050.28. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 2.9 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 5.5 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 30.3 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, four have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Donbasenergo (+2.2%). Worse than market looked shares of Krukivsky Carriage Works (-3.33%).
The Kremenchuk-based Kriukov Car Building Works, or KCBW, in Poltava region reduced production of freight wagons by 54.7% in 2014 from 2013, to 2,406 units. At the same time, KCBW manufactured only one passenger carriage, while 74 passenger carriages were produced in 2013. The plant also retrofitted 95 subway carriages for Kyiv Metropoliten.

Premarket
External background at the opening is moderately positive.
The Asian indexes are showing mixed dynamics today. Nikkei rose by 0.89%, Hong Kong Hang Seng declining by 1.77%.
Futures on American indexes are decreasing today from 0.21% to 0.23%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 EET are rising — MICEX increasing by 0.55%, RTS growing by 0.75%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe will be published data on Current Account in the E.U. (11:00 EET).


ITT Investment group

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