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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 2 February 2015

Pre-market

ITT Investment group


Last closure
On Friday, January 30, trades in USA have come to the end with decrease, as selling accelerated in the final hour. Investors grappled with downbeat gross domestic product data, less-than-stellar earnings that overshadowed a bounce in crude-oil futures. The real GDP or gross domestic product – the value of the production of goods and services in the United States, adjusted for price change – increased at an annual rate of 2.6% in the fourth quarter of 2014. Chicago PMI rose in January, helped by growth in new orders and the best reading on employment in 14 months. Chicago PMI rose 0.6 points to 59.4. Consumer sentiment figures for January were released by the University of Michigan. The 98.1 reading was the highest that it has reached in the past decade. January 2004 was the last time that consumer sentiment was higher, at 103.8. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones has declined by 1.45%, S&P has lowered by 1.30%, Nasdaq has decreased by 1.03%.
European stock exchanges closed with decrease of main indexes, with data highlighting the European Central Bank’s troubles with low inflation levels. with data highlighting the European Central Bank’s troubles with low inflation levels were 0.6% lower than in January 2014, having fallen 0.2% on an annual basis in December. The decline in prices was the largest since July 2009. were 0.6% lower than in January 2014, having fallen 0.2% on an annual basis in December. The decline in prices was the largest since July 2009. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.90%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 0.59%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 0.41%.
Februarys’ contractual price on Brent oil, grew by $3.86 to $52.99 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by decrease, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has increased by 0.27% to 991.42. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 1.8 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 1.8 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 24.2 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, seven have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Krukivsky Carriage Works (+5.21%). Worse than market looked shares of Alchevsk Metallurgical Plant (-0.81%). Ukrainian authorities are negotiating with international donors about getting at least $15 billion in a short time, in order to stabilize the national currency and balance the state budget. Deputy Foreign Minister of Ukraine Vadym Prystaiko said this at the end of his visit to the U.S. in Washington on Friday.

Premarket
External background at the opening is neutral. Activity in China's factory sector shrank for a second month straight in January. The final HSBC/Markit Purchasing Managers' Index for January stood at 49.7 on a seasonally adjusted basis, just below the 50 level that separates expansion from contraction. The Asian indexes are decreasing today. Nikkei has lowered by 0.66%, Hong Kong Hang Seng declining by 0.22%.
Futures on American indexes are growing today from 0.30% to 0.33%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 EET are rising — MICEX increasing by 0.27%, RTS growing by 0.91%.

Our expectations

We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe will be published German manufacturing PMI (10:55 EET) and manufacturing PMI in the U.K. (11:30 EET).
In the U.S. will be published personal spending (15:30 EET) and ISMmanufacturing PMI (17:00 EET).
ITT Investment group

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