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Analytics and Market news

Wednesday, 4 February 2015

Pre-market

ITT Investment group


Last closure
On Tuesday, February 3, trades in USA have come to the end with growth, as a rise in oil prices helped lift energy shares. New orders for U.S. factory goods fell for a fifth straight month in December, but a smaller-than-previously reported drop in business spending plans supported views of a rebound in the months ahead. The Commerce Department said new orders for manufactured goods declined 3.4% as demand fell across a broad sector of industries. That followed a 1.7% decrease in November and exceeded economists expectations for a 2.2% drop. St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard repeated his view that the Fed needs to raise rates sooner and then move gradually higher after that. He also said that the oil price plummet is distorting market-based inflation expectation measures, and that these measures should be set aside until energy prices stabilize. Low government bond yields in the U.S. and other wealthy nations are worrisome because they suggest investors lack confidence in the ability of the Federal Reserve and other central banks to hit their inflation targets, Minneapolis Fed President Narayana Kocherlakota said. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 1.76%, S&P has increased by 1.44%, Nasdaq grew by 1.09%.
European stock exchanges closed with growth of main indexes, fueled by hopes of a resolution to the standoff between the new Greek government and its creditors. Speaking in Rome, Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis said Athens is working on a “road plan” to lessen the burden of his country’s hefty debt pile, and that he hoped to have struck an agreement with Greece’s creditors by the beginning of June. Activity in the UK's construction sector picked up in January from a 17-month low in December, a closely-watched survey has suggested. The Markit/CIPS purchasing managers' index rose by more than expected to 59.1 from 57.6 a month earlier, driven by residential housebuilding. Any score above 50 represents growth. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 1.32%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 1.09%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 0.58%.
March contractual price on Brent oil, grew by $3.16 to $57.91 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has increased by 0.44% to 980.67. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 2.7 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 4.9 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 25.5 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, seven have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Krukivsky Carriage Works (+2.34%). Worse than market looked shares of Enakievo Metallurgical Plant (-2.78%).
The revenues of the consolidated (state and local) budget of Ukraine in January 2015 increased by 1.6%. The national budget revenues amounted to UAH 25.6 billion, which is UAH 1.8 billion more than in January 2014. Revenues to local budgets in January amounted to UAH 5.1 billion, which is UAH 1.3 billion, or 20.4% less than in January last year.

Premarket
External background at the opening is positive. The HSBC/Markit Services Purchasing Managers' Index slowed to 51.8 last month - the weakest since July 2014 - from December's 53.4, but remained above the 50-point level that separates growth from contraction in activity on a monthly basis. The Asian indexes are growing today. Nikkei rose by 1.98%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 0.46%.
Futures on American indexes are decreasing today from 0.06% to 0.20%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 EET are rising — MICEX increasing by 0.07%, RTS growing by 0.93%.

Our expectations

We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe will be published services PMI and retail sales in the E.U. (12:00 EET).
In the U.S. will be published ADP nonfarm employment change (15:15 EET) and ISM Non-manufacturing PMI (17:00 EET).

ITT Investment group

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