Last closure
On Wednesday, February 4, trades in USA have come to the end with mixed dynamics. Private payrolls in the U.S. increased by 213,000 jobs in January. Economists projected ADP to report a larger January increase of 240,000 new private-sector jobs. The December ADP increase was revised up to 253,000 from 241,000. The ISM’s nonmanufacturing purchasing managers index stood at 56.7 in January, little changed from 56.5 in December. Forecasters had projected last month’s PMI to moderate to 56.1. Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester said interest rates should be raised “soon” amid mounting economic momentum, “significant improvement” in labor markets, and the boost consumers will get from cheaper fuel. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 0.04%, S&P has lowered by 0.42%, Nasdaq has decreased by 0.23%.
European stock exchanges closed with mixed dynamics of main indexes, as Greek companies outweighed a drop in energy producers. In the Euro-zone, the final services PMI rose more than expected to 52.6 in January, compared to market expectations of an unchanged reading of 52.3 recorded in the previous month. Additionally, Germany’s services PMI surprisingly advanced to 54.0 in January, higher than market expectations for a rise to a level of 52.7, thus indicating that the European economy was gaining momentum in early 2015. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.17%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 0.39%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 0.19%.
March contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $3.75 to $54.16 per barrel.
In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by growth, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has increased by 1.34% to 993.79. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 2.6 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 4.4 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 24.3 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, eight have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Alchevsk Metallurgical Plant (+6.61%). Worse than market looked shares of Avdiivka Coke Plant (-6.42%).
In 2014 the negative consolidated balance of payments totaled US $13.307 bn, reported the NBU. At the same time in December the negative balance of payments amounted to US $2.261 bn, and in Q4 – US $8.36 bn. The current account deficit in 2014 went down to US $5.2 bn, equal to 4% of GDP (in 2013 – US $16.5 bn dollars, 8.7% of GDP).
Premarket
External background at the opening is neutral. German factory orders rose 4.2% after a decline of 2.4% in November. The gain in the typically volatile figures was the biggest since July and compares with a median estimate of 1.5%.
The Asian indexes are showing mixed dynamics today. Nikkei has lowered by 0.99%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 0.27%.
Futures on American indexes are decreasing today from 0.08% to 0.20%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 EET are decreasing — MICEX decreasing by 0.50%, RTS lowers by 1.94%.
Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe will be published index interest rate decision by BOE (14:00 EET).
In the U.S. will be published initial jobless claims (15:30 EET) and trade balance (15:30 EET).
ITT Investment group
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