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Analytics and Market news

Thursday, 12 February 2015

Pre-market

ITT Investment group


Last closure
On Wednesday, February 12, trades in USA have come to the end with mixed dynamics, as investors eyed negotiations between Greece and its international creditors. Crude-oil futures fell 2.4% to $48.84 a barrel after data showed U.S. crude supplies rose more than expected to a record high. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas President Richard Fisher isn’t going out quietly. The soon-to-retire official argued on Wednesday in favor of broad changes that would take significant power away from the New York Fed and shift it toward the central bank’s other regional operations. The federal government ran a budget deficit of $18 billion in January, the Treasury Department reported Wednesday. The monthly deficit compares to the $10 billion shortfall the government ran in January 2014, and brings the deficit for the fiscal year to date to $194 billion. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones has declined by 0.04%, S&P remained unchanged at 2,068.53, Nasdaq grew by 0.28%.
European stock exchanges closed with decrease of main indexes, amid investor concern that Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis won’t reach an agreement on new bailout terms at a meeting with his euro-area counterparts in Brussels. Greece's benchmark stocks index slumped 4%. German demands that his leftist government complete a pending loan agreement with the EU and the IMF before rethinking the terms of the 240-billion-euro ($270-billion) bailout that Greece accepted during Europe's debt crisis. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.16%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 0.35%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 0.02%.
March contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $1.77 to $54.66 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has increased by 0.51% to 1041.57. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 3.3 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 12.5 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 27.8 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, five have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Azovstal Iron and Steel Works (+4.41%). Worse than market looked shares of Alchevsk Metallurgical Plant (-5.30%).
Ukraine plans to commence consultations with holders of its sovereign bonds to improve the country's medium-term debt stability in March, after achieving an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Finance Ministry’s press service has reporters, referring to Finance Minister Natalie Jaresko. President of Ukraine Petro Poroshenko, Russian President Vladimir Putin, German Chancellor Angela Merkel, and French President Francois Hollande began talks in Minsk. The main topic of discussion will be the settlement of the situation in the Donbas.

Premarket
External background at the opening is neutral. Consumer prices in Germany fell by 0.4% in January 2015 compared with January 2014. Markets were expecting the CPI to come-in at 0.3%. The last time CPI was seen at the current level was in July 2009 (-0.5%).
The Asian indexes are growing today. Nikkei rose by 1.85%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 0.35%.
Futures on American indexes are decreasing today from 0.05% to 0.15%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 EET are showing mixed dynamics — MICEX decreasing by 0.62%, RTS growing by 0.13%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Ukraine press conference with the International Monetary Fund and the Ukrainian Finance Ministry will star at 10:30 EET.
In Europe will be published industrial production in the E.U. (12:00 EET).
In the U.S. will be published initial jobless claims (15:30 EET), retail sales (15:30 EET) and business inventories (17:00 EET).

ITT Investment group

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