Last closure
On Monday, February 16, markets in USA where closed for US holiday, Presidents' Day.
European stock exchanges closed with decrease of main indexes, as the next round of fraught negotiations between Greece and its international creditors got under way. Any changes to the content or expiration date of Greece’s existing €240 billion ($273 billion) bailout have to be decided by Friday, to give national parliaments in countries including Germany, Finland and the Netherlands enough time to approve them before the end of the month. Without such a deal, Greece will be on its own on March 1, cut loose from the rescue loans from the eurozone and the International Monetary Fund that have sustained it for almost five years. The eurozone's trade surplus hit a massive €194.8 billion in 2014, according to figures just out. That's way up from 2014's €152.3 billion, an increase of more than 27%.In December alone, the surplus ran to €24.3 billion, the largest single month ever. The surplus doesn't reflect the whole of Europe though, it's primarily driven by massive German surplus. Between January and November, Germany's surplus ran to €201.8 billion. Removing Europe's largest economy, the rest of the currency union actually has a small trade deficit. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.24%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 0.16%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 0.37%.
March contractual price on Brent oil, grew by $0.34 to $57.39 per barrel.
In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.08% to 1106.55. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 2 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 6.2 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 23.8 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, six have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Avdiivka Coke Plant (+3.16%) and Azovstal Iron and Steel Works (+3.00%). Worse than market looked shares of Enakievo Metallurgical Plant (-6.70%) and Donbasenergo (-4.36%).
Attacks on the positions of the Ukrainian troops and peaceful towns continue in the anti-terrorist operation area. In the course of the day the militant gangs focused their efforts at Debaltseve direction. The terrorists opened fire 27 times using Grad, artillery and mortars against Chornukhyne, Sanzharivka, and Zolote. In addition, the infantry of the illegal armed groups tried to storm Debaltseve and Mius. The Ukrainian Cabinet of Ministers has downgraded the forecast for Ukraine's GDP fall in 2015 to 5.5%, while the national budget for 2015 adopted in late December was built on the conservative scenario, providing for a GDP decline of 4.3%.
Premarket
External background at the opening is neutral. Ukraine's gross domestic product fell 15.2% year-on-year in the fourth quarter of 2014. GDP fell by 3.8% from the third quarter, the data showed. The Asian indexes are showing mixed dynamics today. Nikkei has lowered by 0.10%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 0.20%.
Futures on American indexes are decreasing today from 0.13% to 0.47%.
Russian indexes as of 10:05 EET are showing mixed dynamics — MICEX decreasing by 0.33%, RTS growing by 0.08%.
Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe will be published CPI in the U.K. (11:30 EET) and ZEW economic sentiment for Germany and E.U. (12:00 EET).
In the U.S. will be published TIC net long-term transactions (23:00 EET).
Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Plosser speech on the economic outlook and monetary policy, will start at 19:45 EET.
ITT Investment group
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