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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 2 March 2015

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure
On Friday, February 27, trades in USA have come to the end with decrease. The US Gross Domestic Product grew in the fourth quarter of 2014 at 2.2%, down from the 5% in the third quarter, according to a US Department of Commerce. Pending home sales index, which is based on contract signings for purchases of existing homes, increased 1.7% to a seasonally adjusted level of 104.2 in January from an upwardly revised reading of 102.5 in December. Economists had expected pending home sales would rise 2% last month after dipping in December. Home sales typically close within a couple months after signing. The Federal Reserve’s vice chairman, Stanley Fischer, said that it was time for the central bank to bring a little more mystery to its relationship with financial markets, suggesting on Friday that the post crisis era of detailed guidance was drawing to a close. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones has declined by 0.45%, S&P has lowered by 0.30%, Nasdaq has decreased by 0.49%.
European stock exchanges closed with mixed dynamics of main indexes. German preliminary consumer price index inflation for February increased by 0.9%, further than the 0.6% expected and up from the -1.1% drop in January. Year-on-year CPI increased by 0.1% compared with expectations of a 0.3% contraction after -0.4% in January. French economic growth – rose 0.6% in January from December and was 2.6% higher on year, national statistics agency Insee said Friday. That marked the third straight month of rising consumer spending. Italy's consumer price index dropped, as expected, in January, on lower fuel prices and tumbling energy costs amid falling crude oil prices. On a monthly basis, CPI slipped 0.4% from December, while on an annual level it decreased 0.6% from January 2014. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.04%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 0.83%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 0.66%.
April’s contractual price on Brent oil, grew by $2.53 to $62.58 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by growth, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has increased by 0.47% to 1124.88. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 2.7 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 3.1 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 58.1 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, seven have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Avdiivka Coke Plant (+5.17%). Worse than market looked shares of Motor Sich (-0.70%).
The first tranche of the International Monetary Fund, which Ukraine will receive, will be divided into equal parts among the National Bank of Ukraine and the government, Finance Minister of Ukraine Natalie Jaresko reported.

Premarket
External background at the opening is positive.
The Asian indexes are growing today. Nikkei rose by 0.15%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 0.15%.
Futures on American indexes are growing today from 0.10% to 0.12%.
Russian indexes as of 10:05 EET are rising — MICEX increasing by 1.49%, RTS growing by 0.78%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market by growth.
In Europe will be published German manufacturing PMI (10:55 EET), data on GDP in the U.K. (11:30 EET) and CPI in the E.U. (11:30 EET).
In the U.S. will be published personal spending (15:30 EET) and ISM manufacturing PMI (15:30 EET).

ITT Investment group

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