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Analytics and Market news

Wednesday, 4 March 2015

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure

On Tuesday, March 4, trades in USA have come to the end with decrease. Total U.S. vehicle sales for the month of February 2015 rose 4.2% to 231,378 units from 222,104 units in the prior year month. Retail sales were up 1%. Commercial and fleet deliveries were up 12%. Sales of trucks, including SUVs, vans and pickups, were up 36% year over year. National chain-store sales edged up 0.8% in February from January, according to Redbook Research's latest indicator, released on Tuesday. The index's increase compared with a target for growth of 0.9%. The Johnson Redbook Sales Index also showed seasonally adjusted sales for the period improved 2.7% from a year earlier, compared with a target for an increase a 2.8%. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones has declined by 0.47%, S&P has lowered by 0.45%, Nasdaq has decreased by 0.56%.
European stock exchanges closed with decrease of main indexes. The European Central Bank will unveil Thursday the details of the bond purchase program it is embarking on later this month. Greece is also likely to be at the top of the agenda after the recent eurozone deal to extend the aid program for the debt-wracked country, followed by the latest talk of a possible third bailout, according to Spain's economy minister. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development said it would begin funding critically needed investment in Greece as Athens nears the end of a massive bailout program. German retail sales, a closely watched measure of household confidence, rose strongly in January. Adjusted for inflation, revenue was up by 5.3% on a 12-month basis, marking the biggest jump since June 2010 and beating analysts' expectations by a wide margin. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.74%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 0.98%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 1.14%.
April’s contractual price on Brent oil, grew by $1.48 to $61.02 per barrel.

In Ukraine

Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed with negative dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 1.88% to 1114.56. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 5.1 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 9.3 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 26.9 million.
All ten shares of an index basket declined. Leaders of growth were shares of Alchevsk Metallurgical Plant (+4.58%) and Avdiivka Coke Plant (+4.32%).
The National Bank of Ukraine has hiked its key refinancing rte from 19.5% to 30%, NBU Governor Valeriya Gontareva told reporters. A banker told Interfax that the rate was being introduced on March 4 and would be used for short-term refinancing. The rate was raised from 14% to 19.5% on February 6.

Premarket
External background at the opening is neutral. Fed Chair Janet Yellen may have gotten a job promotion last year, but her total assets don't appear to have gotten a bump. Yellen's financial disclosure form for 2014, which was released Tuesday, showed a net worth of between $4.92 million and $13.37 million. On the high end of the valuation, that represents a slight decline of about 5% from 2013 when her assets were valued as high as $14.1 million. The Asian indexes are decreasing today. Nikkei has lowered by 0.59%, Hong Kong Hang Seng declining by 0.86%.
Futures on American indexes are decreasing today from 0.02% to 0.08%.
Russian indexes as of 9:40 EET are rising — MICEX increasing by 0.16%, RTS growing by 0.43%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe will be published services PMI in Germany (10:55 EET) and in the E.U. (11:00 EET).
In the U.S. will be published ADP nonfarm employment change (15:15 EET) and ISM non-manufacturing PMI (17:00 EET).

ITT Investment group

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