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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 30 March 2015

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure
On Friday, March 27, trades in USA have come to the end with growth, after late news of merger talks in the semiconductor space boosted the technology sector. Intel Corp is in talks to buy rival Altera Corp. Intel shares jumped 6.4% to $32 as the biggest boost to the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 indexes. The Federal Reserve’s No. 2 official urged regulators to be vigilant in monitoring risks outside the traditional banking system even though the so-called shadow-banking sector is less vulnerable than it was before the recent global financial crisis. The U.S. economy expanded at a 2.2% annual pace in October, November and December of 2014, which is much slower than growth in the previous quarter. The growth rate for all of 2014 to be at 2.4%, which is a little faster than the previous year. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 0.19%, S&P has increased by 0.24%, Nasdaq grew by 0.57%.
European stock exchanges closed with mixed dynamics of main indexes. Germany's import prices declined at a slower-than-expected pace in February. The import price index fell 3.0% year-over-year in February, below economists' expectations for a 3.9% decrease. In January, prices had fallen 4.4%, which was the sharpest since December 2009, when it dropped 5.0%. Bank of England governor Mark Carney said the next move in interest rates would be an increase, despite record low inflation. BoE governor Carney reiterated that the next move in interest rates is going to be up. In comments to The Times newspaper on Friday, one of the bank's deputy governors, Ben Broadband, also downplayed low inflation. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.58%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 0.55%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 0.21%.
April’s contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $2.78 to $56.41 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 1.88% to 1007.91. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 2.5 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 12.3 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 26.8 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, seven retreated. Leaders of growth were shares of Raiffeisen Bank Aval (+2.61%). Worse than market looked shares of Alchevsk Metallurgical Plant (-5.43%), Motor Sich (-5.31%) and Krukivsky Carriage Works (-5.14%).
In January and February Ukrainian banks sustained losses of UAH 74.5 billion, the press service of the National Bank of Ukraine has reported. The losses suffered by the system of banks as of March 1, 2015 was worth UAH 74.5 billion, reads the statement. Banks' profits for the two months increased by 72.6%, compared with the same period in 2014, and amounted to UAH 57.1 billion; the costs increased by 268.6% and amounted to UAH 131.6 billion.

Premarket
External background at the opening is neutral.
The Asian indexes are growing today. Nikkei rose by 0.%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 1.78%.
Futures on American indexes are growing today from 0.13% to 0.35%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 EET are showing mixed dynamics — MICEX decreasing by 0.03%, RTS growing by 0.44%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe will be published consumer confidence in the E.U. (12:00 EET) and German CPI (12:00 EET).
In the U.S. will be published    personal spending (15:30 EET) and data on pending home sales (15:30 EET).
ITT Investment group

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