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Analytics and Market news

Tuesday, 31 March 2015

Pre-market

ITT Investment group




Last closure
On Monday, March 30, trades in USA have come to the end with growth. Pending home sales in February reached their highest level since June 2013. The National Association of Realtors said its pending-home-sales index rose 3.1% to 106.9 after a downward revision to January's numbers. The index is up 12% from February 2012 levels. The Commerce Department said on Monday that consumer spending edged up 0.1% after dropping 0.2% in January. Economists had expected consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity, to increase 0.2% last month. Income rose 0.4% after a similar gain in January. Savings jumped to $768.6 billion, the highest level since December 2012, from $728.7 billion in January. The saving rate rose to 5.8%, also the highest since December 2012, from 5.5% in January. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 1.49%, S&P has increased by 1.22%, Nasdaq grew by 1.15%.
European stock exchanges closed with growth of main indexes. Economic confidence in the eurozone jumped to the highest level since the summer of 2011 in March, indicating that businesses and consumers are becoming more optimistic about their prospects. ECB President Mario Draghi says the central bank will spend €1.1 trillion on government bonds and other assets to stave off the threat of deflation and foster growth in the 19-nation euro area. Germany's inflation rate dropped to a record low of minus 0.5% in January and was minus 0.1% in February. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 0.53%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 0.98%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 1.83%.
April’s contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $0.12 to $56.29 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed with positive dynamics. Value of the UX index has increased by 0.93% to 1017.28. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 5.7 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 10.6 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 28.1 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, six have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Krukivsky Carriage Works (+4.32%) and Azovstal Iron and Steel Works (+3.23%). Worse than market looked shares of Alchevsk Metallurgical Plant (-2.44%).
Moody's Investors Service has downgraded the foreign- and local-currency ratings of the Ukrainian cities of Kyiv and Kharkiv to Ca from Caa3.

Premarket
External background at the opening is neutral. Retail sales in February 2014 in Germany increased 3.6% year-on-year in real terms, missing the estimate of a 3.7% rise. Retail sales stood at 5.00% in January.
The Asian indexes are showing mixed dynamics today. Nikkei has lowered by 1.05%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 0.23%.
Futures on American indexes are changing today from -0.25% to +1.31%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe will be published unemployment rate in Germany (10:55 EET), GDP in the U.K. (11:30 EET) and data on CPI in the E.U. (12:00 EET).
In the U.S. will be published CB consumer confidence (17:00 EET) and Chicago PMI (16:45 EET).

ITT Investment group

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