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Analytics and Market news

Thursday, 9 April 2015

Pre-market

ITT Investment group




Last closure
On Wednesday, April 8, trades in USA have come to the end with growth, after the latest minutes from the Federal Reserve's March meeting showed the central bank was torn over an interest rate rise. Several members judged economic data will likely to warrant June hike, while others anticipate initial rate hike more likely later in 2015 due to impact of US dollar and oil prices. Minutes showed the Federal Reserve aims for a “fairly gradual pace of normalization” or that a data-dependent approach would not necessarily dictate increases in the target range at every meeting. The Federal Reserve remains on course to start lifting interest rates this year, but when it does so it will raise them gradually, a leading policymaker said. Jerome Powell, a Fed governor, told a conference in New York that he expected progress in the jobs market to continue even after the setback seen in the March payroll numbers, reports Sam Fleming, US economic editor. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 0.15%, S&P has increased by 0.27%, Nasdaq grew by 0.83%.
European stock exchanges closed with decrease of main indexes. German factory orders dropped 0.9% on month in February, which badly missed consensus of +1.5% but did represent an improvement over a 2.6% slump in January. On year, orders -1.3% vs -0.3% a month earlier. Retail sales in the eurozone fell in February after four successive monthly increases, an indication that the boost to the spending power of households from lower oil prices may be waning. The European Union’s statistics agency Wednesday said retail sales fell 0.2% from January, but were nevertheless 3.0% higher than in the same month of 2014 after strong rises since September. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 0.35%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 0.28%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 0.72%.
May’s contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $3.55 to $55.55 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by decrease, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.49% to 1032.81. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 4.6 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 5.7 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 20.9 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, five declined. Leaders of growth were shares of Enakievo Metallurgical Plant (+3.41%). Worse than market looked shares of Ukrnafta (-0.86%) and Motor Sich (-0.77%).
The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine (PGO) on April 3 lodged an appeal in court demanding that the sales of state-owned stakes in Public JSC Dniproenergo and Public JSC Zakarpattiaoblenergo power supply companies be declared illegal. DTEK has said that the claim made by the Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine on the purchase of public joint-stock company DTEK Dniproenergo is an attempt to re-privatize it and the holding is ready to protect its interests in international courts.
Underlying inflation in Ukraine in March 2015 came to 10.8%, a historic record since the start of its calculation in 2008, and it was 5.4% up on February and 2.3-2.8% up on the previous five months, the State Statistics Service of Ukraine has reported. According to the report, underlying inflation has amounted to 19.8% since early 2015.

Premarket

External background at the opening is neutral. Industrial production climbed 0.2% in Germany from a month earlier, eclipsing expectations for a 0.1% gain, as the production of energy and capital goods rose.
The Asian indexes are growing today. Nikkei rose by 0.75%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 2.82%.
Futures on American indexes are decreasing today from 0.08% to 0.16%.
Russian indexes as of 10:00 EET are showing mixed dynamics — MICEX decreasing by 0.65%, RTS growing by 0.08%.

Our expectations

We expect opening of the Ukrainian market by decrease.
In Europe will be published interest rate decision by BOE (14:30 EET).
In the U.S. will be published initial jobless claims (15:30 EET).

ITT Investment group

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