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Analytics and Market news

Thursday, 1 October 2015

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure
On Wednesday, September 30, trades in USA have come to the end with growth, driven by gains in consumer discretionary. The ADP non-farm employment change for September showed the US economy added 200,000 jobs, besting the forecast of 192,000. A measure of Chicago-area manufacturing dropped sharply into contraction territory in September. The Chicago PMI fell to 48.7 in September from 54.4 in August, on a scale where readings below 50 indicate deteriorating activity. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 1.47%, S&P has increased by 1.91%, Nasdaq grew by 2.28%.
European stock exchanges closed with growth of main indexes, as investors snapped up bargain shares. Eurozone inflation unexpectedly fell to negative 0.1 percent in September, data showed, suggesting a dangerous spell of falling prices could be returning to Europe. The return to negative territory will add to pressure on the European Central Bank to increase its huge quantitative easing (QE) stimulus program which is meant to ward off deflation and keep the economy on track. The U.K. economy has performed better than previously thought since the financial crisis, government statisticians said Tuesday. Updated official figures confirmed the British economy grew 0.7% during the second quarter. The German unemployment change in September printed at 2,000, compared to the expected drop of 5,000. The unemployment rate remained unchanged at 6.4%. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 2.58%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 2.22%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 2.57%.
Octobers’ contractual price on Brent oil, grew by $0.14 to $48.37 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed with positive dynamics. Value of the UX index has increased by 2.36% to 872.35. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 3.1 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 6.4 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 21.5 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, nine have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Worse than market looked shares of Avdiivka Coke Plant (+8.36%), Alchevsk Metallurgical Plant (+5.43%) and Enakievo Metallurgical Plant (+4.52%).
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has approved the provision of a revolving facility with a limit of $300 million to national joint-stock company Naftogaz Ukrainy for three years.

Premarket
External background at the opening is moderately positive. China's official manufacturing purchasing managers index rose to 49.8 in September from 49.7 a month ago. The September PMI beat the median 49.7 forecast. Chinese stock markets are closed for China’s national day holidays on October 1-7. The Asian indexes are growing today. Nikkei rose by 1.92%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 1.41%.
Futures on American indexes are growing today from 0.96% to 1.28%.
Russian indexes as of 10:05 EET are rising — MICEX increasing by 0.14%, RTS lowers growing by 0.83%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market by growth.
In Europe will be published manufacturing PMI in Germany, in France, in the U.K. and in the E.U. (10:50-11:30 EET).
In the U.S. will be published initial jobless claims (15:30 EET) and ISM manufacturing PMI (17:00 EET).

ITT Investment group

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