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Analytics and Market news

Friday, 16 October 2015

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure

On Thursday, October 15, trades in USA have come to the end with growth, following signs that recent lackluster economic data have reduced the odds of a rate increase by the Federal Reserve this year. Data on Thursday showed U.S. consumer prices fell a seasonally adjusted 0.2% in September, the latest piece of disappointing data to complicate the Fed's plans to raise rates. Earlier disappointing readings on inflation, jobs growth and consumer spending have also fueled doubts over the central bank's plans. Initial unemployment claims dropped by 7,000 to 255,000 in the week ended Oct. 10, a Labor Department report showed Thursday. The median forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for 270,000 applications. The decline brought the monthly average to its lowest level since December 1973. In a report, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said that its manufacturing index improved to -4.5 this month from September's reading of -6.0. Analysts had expected the index to rise to -1.0 in October. On the index, a reading above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 1.28%, S&P has increased by 1.49%, Nasdaq grew by 1.82%.
European stock exchanges closed with growth of main indexes, amid speculation that unimpressive economic data would persuade the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates unchanged for some more time. Destatis reported that Germany's manufacturing employment and earnings increased in August. In local manufacturing units, nearly 5.4 million people worked in August. Employment increased by about 52,000 or 1% from same period of last year. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 1.10%, DAX (Germany) has increased by 1.50%, CAC 40 (France) grew by 1.44%.
Novembers’ contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $0.44 to $48.44 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by decrease, day passed negative dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.91% to 836.57. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 1.5 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 2.4 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 101.3 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, three have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Ukrnafta (+1.30%) and Avdiivka Coke Plant (+1.19%). Worse than market looked shares of Raiffeisen Bank Aval (-3.02%) and Motor Sich (-2.84%).
The Antimonopoly Committee of Ukraine has permitted the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development to buy 25% stake in Raiffeisen Bank Aval PJSC.

Premarket
External background at the opening is moderately positive.
The Asian indexes are growing today. Nikkei rose by 1.28%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 1.82%.
Futures on American indexes are growing today from 0.11% to 0.66%.
Russian indexes as of 10:06 EET are rising — MICEX increasing by 0.75%, RTS growing by 1.84%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market by growth.
In Europe will be published CPI in the E.U. (12:00 EET).
In the U.S. will be published industrial production (16:15 EET) and data JOLTs job openings (17:00 EET).

ITT Investment group

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