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Analytics and Market news

Wednesday, 2 December 2015

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure

On Monday, December 1, trades in USA have come to the end with growth. The last time the ISM index fell below the 50 mark — which nominally divides expansion from contraction — was in November 2012. Analysts noted that while the production and new orders components had dipped below 50, the employment sub-index had risen to 51.3 from 47.6. Analysts also noted a solid 1% rise in US construction spending in October. The futures market continued to assign a 74% probability to a Fed rate rise in December. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 0.%, S&P has increased by 0.%, Nasdaq grew by 0.%.
European stock exchanges closed with decrease of main indexes. Unemployment across the 19-country eurozone economy has fallen to its lowest level in nearly four years, official figures showed Tuesday, in another positive sign for an economic region that has struggled to get people back to work for years. Eurostat said the unemployment rate, which has fallen by 0.8%age point over the year, is now at its lowest level since January 2012. Since October 2014, the number of people out of work has fallen by 1.3 million. Big disparities remain across the region. While Germany's unemployment rate is 4.5%, Spain's stands at 21.6% despite large falls over the past year. On the day’s result, British FTSE rose by 0.62%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 1.06%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 0.87%.
Januarys’ contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $0.17 to $44.44 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by growth, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 1.11% to 708.50. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 1.4 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 2.1 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 11.1 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, three have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Motor Sich (+0.25%). Worse than market looked shares of Alchevsk Metallurgical Plant (-10.92%) and Enakievo Metallurgical Plant (-6.36%).
The Finance Ministry of Ukraine expects that real GPS will restore by 2% in 2016, according to the draft 2016 national budget posted on the ministry's website. According to the ministry, nominal GDP will be UAH 2.262 trillion. Inflation will reach 12%.

Premarket
External background at the opening is moderately positive.
The Asian indexes are showing mixed dynamics today. Nikkei has lowered by 0.37%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 0.65%.
Futures on American indexes are growing today from 0.15% to 0.20%.
Russian indexes as of 10:40 EET are rising — MICEX increasing by 0.58%, RTS growing by 0.23%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe will be published CPI (12:00 EET).
In the U.S. will be published ADP nonfarm employment change (15:15 EET).
Fed Chair Yellen Speaks at 15:30 EET and 19:25 EET.

ITT Investment group

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