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Analytics and Market news

Wednesday, 3 February 2016

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure
On Wednesday, February 2, trades in USA have come to the end with decrease, as slumping oil prices reignited investor worries about the health of the global economy. Kansas City Fed Chief, Esther George on Tuesday said that the Fed should maintain a gradual pace of rate increases and that the economy is in a good spot to warrant additional increases in rates. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones has declined by 1.80%, S&P has lowered by 1.87%, Nasdaq has decreased by 2.24%.
European stock exchanges closed with decrease of main indexes, as concerns over oil prices haunted traders and investors worldwide. The euro area (EA19) seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate was 10.4% in December 2015, down from 10.5% in November 2015, and from 11.4% in December 2014. This is the lowest rate recorded in the euro area since September 2011. The EU28 unemployment rate was 9.0% in December 2015, stable compared to November 2015, and down from 9.9% in December 2014. Unemployment change in German fell 20,000 in January, higher than -10,000 registered in December. It was estimated to come in at -7,000. Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate came in at 6.2 percent compared to 6.3 percent seen previously. Markit’s purchasing managers’ index for the construction sector in the UK carried expectations for a score of 57.5 points, similar to 57.8 seen beforehand. This reflects strong growth in the sector that has led the UK economy forward. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 2.28%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 1.81%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 2.47%.
March contractual price on Brent oil, decreased by $1.52 to $32.72 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened by decrease, day passed without certain dynamics. Value of the UX index has increased by 0.50% to 642.65. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 5.1 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 3.4 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 9.4 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, eight have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Alchevsk Metallurgical Plant (+4.84%) and Enakievo Metallurgical Plant (+3.56%). Worse than market looked shares of Motor Sich (-0.40%).
MHP agricultural holding in 2015 sold 537,290 tonnes of poultry, which is 2% more than in 2014. According to a press release, in the fourth quarter of 2015 it sold 129,610 tonnes of poultry, which is 1% more than in the same period in 2014.

Premarket
External background at the opening is moderately negative. China General Services Business Activity Index posting up from December’s 17-month low of 50.2 at 52.4 in January. The Asian indexes are decreasing today. Nikkei has lowered by 3.15%, Hong Kong Hang Seng declining by 2.27%.
Futures on American indexes are slightly changing today from -0.17% to +0.01%.
Russian indexes as of 10:42 EET are decreasing — MICEX decreasing by 0.09%, RTS lowers by 0.49%.

Our expectations

We expect opening of the Ukrainian market by decrease.
In Europe will be services PMI in Germany ant in the E.U. (11:00 EET).
In the U.S. will be published    ADP nonfarm employment change (15:15 EET), ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (16:45 EET) and data on crude oil inventories (17:30 EET).

ITT Investment group

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