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Analytics and Market news

Thursday, 4 February 2016

Pre-market

ITT Investment group



Last closure

On Wednesday, January 3, trades in USA have come to the end with mixed dynamics, as a strong rebound in oil prices boosted market sentiment. U.S. non-manufacturing index registered 53.5 percent in January, 2.3 percentage points lower than the seasonally adjusted December reading of 55.8 percent and below market consensus of 55.5. U.S. private sectors added 205,000 jobs in January, beating market consensus of 190,000, according to the ADP National Employment Report. On the day’s result, index Dow Jones rose by 1.13%, S&P has increased by 0.50%, Nasdaq has decreased by 0.28%.
European stock exchanges closed with decrease of main indexes, as oil price volatility and concerns over global economic growth remained in focus. Retail sales in the eurozone rose by an expected 0.3% in December from November, and by 1.4% from the final month of 2014. It was the first increase since August. Germany’s Manufacturing PMI came in at 52.1 in January as against 53.2 recorded in December. Manufacturing PMI is at a 3-month low. Services PMI dropped as well, falling to 55.4, down from December’s 56.0. Composite PMI in January stood at 54.5, lower than 55.5 seen in December. On the day’s result, British FTSE has declined by 1.43%, DAX (Germany) has lowered by 1.53%, CAC 40 (France) has decreased by 1.33%.
Februarys’ contractual price on Brent oil, grew by $2.32 to $35.04 per barrel.

In Ukraine
Trades on the Ukrainian stock exchange opened on neutral territory, day passed with negative dynamics. Value of the UX index has declined by 0.75% to 637.82. Share trades capacity on the application market was equal to UAH 1.2 million. Trades capacity on the derivatives market was equal to UAH 10.2 million. Total trades capacity for yesterday — UAH 17.6 million.
From ten shares of an index basket, three have risen. Leaders of growth were shares of Alchevsk Metallurgical Plant (+9.38%). Worse than market looked shares of Azovstal Iron and Steel Works (-4.90%).
Ukraine's total direct and guaranteed state debt shrank by $4.32 billion in 2015 or 6.2%, reaching $65.49 billion as of December 31, 2015, the Finance Ministry reported. The reduction of the debt is related to the restructuring of eurobonds when 20% of the bonds were exchanged to GDP-pegged government warrants conventionally worth $2.916 billion, payments on which in 2021-2040 depend on the pace of Ukraine's GDP growth.

Premarket
External background at the opening is moderately positive.
The Asian indexes are showing mixed dynamics today. Nikkei has lowered by 0.85%, Hong Kong Hang Seng increasing by 1.40%.
Futures on American indexes are growing today from 0.60% to 0.70%.
Russian indexes as of 9:41 EET are rising — MICEX increasing by 2.02%, RTS growing by 5.37%.

Our expectations
We expect opening of the Ukrainian market on neutral territory.
In Europe, ECB President Mario Draghi speaks at 10:00 EET.
In the U.S. will be published initial jobless claims (15:30 EET) and data on factory orders (17:00 EET).

ITT Investment group

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