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Monday, 28 March 2022

Ukraine Weekly Market Monitor

Eavex Capital

Russia continued bombing Ukrainian cities last week, although the country continued to defend itself quite effectively. In north-central Ukraine, Chernihiv’s main bridge was destroyed over the Desna River on the road leading to Kyiv, cutting off the last possible route for people to get out or for food and medical supplies to get in. Kharkiv, Chernihiv, and Mariupol in the southeast are the worst-hit large cities. Despite more than 4 weeks of fighting, the only large city which Russia has seized is Kherson in the south, which they are having trouble holding. The conflict has killed thousands of people and sent nearly 3.8mn abroad. European Union leaders have urged Russia to fully respect its obligations under international law and abide by the recent order by the International Court of Justice that told Moscow to withdraw from Ukraine. The head of Ukraine’s military intelligence accused Russia of trying to divide the country in two — “to create North and South Korea in Ukraine” — with the eastern part of the nation controlled by Russia.

Kyiv-listed stocks remained suspended from trading due to the war. There was no new official statement from either UkrNafta (UNAF) or CentrEnergo (CEEN) on how they have been operating during the war. However, information from energy market participants indicates that CentrEnergo continued to provide 4.3% of the electricity consumed in the country. DonbasEnergo (DOEN) provides 2% and the nuclear power plants supply 53% of electricity for the country’s needs. The balance is provided by other thermal power plants, hydropower plants, and renewable energy producers.

On the Warsaw Stock Exchange, Ukrainian grain exporter Kernel (KER) dropped by 9.9% to PLN 31.90. The company’s market capitalization has fallen by 45% to USD 597mn since the start of the year. Sugar refiner Astarta (AST) slipped by 6.9% to PLN 23.50, implying an MCap of USD 138mn (-45% YTD).

London-listed MHP (MHPC) declined by 2.6% to USD 3.41 (-50% YTD) and Ferrexpo (FXPO) edged down by 1.1% to GBp 166 (-45% YTD). Natural gas producer Enwell Energy (former Regal) climbed by 2.6% to GBp 22.10 (-37% YTD). 

The National Bank of Ukraine has opened a special fundraising account to support the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Please find more at the National Bank’s official website under the link below:

www.bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/natsionalniy­bank­vidkriv­spetsrahunok­dlya­zboru­koshtiv­na­potrebi­armiyi

The National Bank also opened a fundraising account for Humanitarian Assistance to Ukrainians. Please see details under the link below:

www.bank.gov.ua/en/news/all/natsionalniy­bank­vidkriv­rahunok­dlya­gumanitarnoyi­dopomogi­ukrayintsyam­postrajdalim­vid­rosiyskoyi­agresiyi



full report


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