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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 6 March 2023

Ukraine Weekly Market Monitor

Eavex Capital

The index of expectations of business activity, which the National Bank calculates every month, showed that in February businesses significantly softened negative assessments of their economic activity. Business activity is gradually recovering in all sectors, except for construction, but the restraining factors are low consumer demand and an increase in the cost of manufactured goods.

At the moment, for the economy of Ukraine, there is an extremely important issue regarding the continuation of the “grain initiative”, within the framework of which Ukraine exports food through the “green corridors” in the Black Sea. The current agreement expires on March 18. Representatives of Turkey, which acts as a mediator for agreements with russia, have already announced efforts to continue the grain agreement. For its part, Ukraine is seeking to expand the grain export agreement to include steel supplies to support the economy. In 2022, Ukraine exported more than 22mn tonnes of grain. For the past few months, russia has been artificially slowing down the implementation of the agreement by systematically delaying the inspection of ships passing through the Bosphorus. Ukraine called on the international community, in particular the UN and Turkey, to stop russia’s attempts to block the operation of the “grain corridor”.

Among the shares of Ukrainian agricultural companies listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange, the biggest increase last week was in Astarta (AST), which rose by 6.6% to PLN 25.00. Since the beginning of this year, Astarta shares have risen in price by 22%. Kernel (KER) decreased by 0.5% to PLN 19.9 for the week even though the published financial results of the company for October-December turned out to be better than expected.

On the Ukrainian Exchange, the indicative quotes for CentrEnergo (CEEN) increased by 7.5% to UAH 2.58. The company announced the holding of an extraordinary meeting of shareholders with the sole issue of appointing the international company BDO to audit the financial statements for 2022.

STOCKS IN THE NEWS

- Kernel Reports Net Profit of USD 368mn for the Jul-Dec Period Implying Solid EPS of PLN 21.0

The National Bank of Ukraine has opened a special fundraising account to support the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Please find more at the National Bank’s official website under the link below:

www.bank.gov.ua


full report

Eavex Capital welcomes any questions or comments you may have regarding our research products.
Please contact us by email:

Dmitry Churin, Head of Research, [email protected]



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