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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 21 August 2023

Ukraine Weekly Market Monitor

Eavex Capital

Global stock market indices experienced a noticeable decline over the past week. In particular, the S&P 500 dropped by 2.1% to 4,369 points, while the MSCI composite index for emerging markets lost 2.4%. The negative trend was driven by investors perceiving risks of another interest rate hike in the US and concerns about a global economic slowdown amid weak data from China. The decision regarding the key interest rate in the US will be announced on September 20th. Currently, the rate stands at 5.5%, and it is projected to remain unchanged after the next Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting. The yield on 10-year US bonds is at 4.25%, while for 2-year US bonds, it’s 4.94%. A higher yield on short-term bonds compared to long-term ones serves as an indicator of a potential recession in the US.

At the Ukrainian Exchange, trading in shares was almost non-existent due to the lack of noticeable demand or supply for shares in the index basket. As a result, quotes for Raiffeisen Bank (BAVL) securities remain at 26 kopecks, and for CentrEnergo (CEEN) shares at UAH 4.8.

In Warsaw, Kernel (KER) stocks dropped by 3.2% to PLN 13.74 (down 22% since the beginning of the year). In its operational report, Kernel highlighted that it continues the process of delisting its shares from the exchange but has not yet received a final decision from the Polish financial regulator. Agroton (AGT) shares decreased by 2.1% to PLN 2.82 (down 18% since the beginning of the year). Astarta (AST) stock prices went down by 5.4% to PLN 30.90 (up 52% since the beginning of the year).

The exchange rate of the dollar in the cash market increased by 1.5% over the week to 37.95 UAH/USD, likely due to speculative demand for currency ahead of the fall season.

STOCKS IN THE NEWS

- Kernel Reports 45% Increase in Winter Wheat Yield

The National Bank of Ukraine has opened a special fundraising account to support the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Please find more at the National Bank’s official website under the link below:

www.bank.gov.ua


full report


Eavex Capital welcomes any questions or comments you may have regarding our research products.
Please contact us by email:

Dmitry Churin, Head of Research, [email protected]



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