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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 31 March 2025

Ukraine Weekly Market Monitor

Eavex Capital

Ukrainian Stocks Remain Mixed

Global equity markets saw heightened volatility, with gains early last week giving way to a sharp selloff on Friday. The S&P 500 ended the week down 1.5%, bringing its year-to-date decline to 5.1%.

Ukrainian stocks listed on foreign exchanges posted mixed performance. Shares of Ferrexpo (FXPO) slumped 7.9% to GBp 58.40 (MCap of USD 451mn) after the company disclosed a halt in VAT refunds in a London Stock Exchange filing.

MHP (MHPC) shares remained flat at USD 6.10 (MCap of USD 653mn).

Kernel (KER) outperformed, climbing 2.5% to PLN 20.80 (MCap USD 1.6bn). The stock has surged 60% year-to-date from PLN 13.00 on optimism over a potential end to the war in Ukraine.

Hryvnia Stands Virtually Unchanged

The cash exchange rate inched down by 0.1% to 41.65 UAH/USD.

On the interbank market, the National Bank sold additional  USD 845mn to balance the demand for the hard currency from importers. The IMF in its latest macroeconomic review pointed that Ukraine’s current account deficit would amount to USD 32.8bn this year (-15.9% of GDP). The National Bank has spent USD 9.0bn since the start of the year to prop up the hryvnia. However, the FX intervention should aim to limit excessive exchange rate volatility without compromising the shock-absorbing role of the exchange rate. To curb unproductive FX outflows, the regulator will continue to closely monitor outflows and limit FX securities trading.

POLITICS AND ECONOMICS

- IMF Approves USD 400mn Tranche to Ukraine

full report

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Please contact us by email:

Dmitry Churin, Head of Research, [email protected]




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