By analyst of IC IFG CAPITAL Alexey Sidorov,
Ukrainian trade market finished the previous week with largest sales affected
by the results of trade closing in the USA.
Ukrainian and American indices fell within the
high trade volumes. This is a signal that the majority of investors does not
believe in quick normalization of the situation and has no hopes concerning the
USA FRS session, it is supposed that the rings of new program of bonds
redemption will be announced there.
The USA economy rating decrease will become the
main decreasing driver today. Standard & Poor's international rating agency
downgraded the USA rating for the first time in history from AAA level to AA+
with a negative forecast on development of the country within the threat of
budget deficit growth.
The event affects an oil price and EUR-USD
exchange rate greatly, because of their vivid tendencies to raise or drop
respectively.
The external background is estimated as
negative.
Asian stock players pessimistically conceived
American rating decrease. Chinese SSEC, Japanese Nikkei, Korean KOSPI lost by 3,52
%, 2,18 %, 3,82 % respectively.
European indices suffered great losses under
the pressure of the next aggravation in the sovereign debt market and weak corporate
reports. Certain support should be given to the shares of European issuers by
“Great Seven” (G7) announcement of an intention to perform the coordinated
actions to support markets, financial stability and economical growth. Herewith
we can forecast the resumption of problem countries bonds purchasing by the
European Central Bank.
Russian RTS index rapidly drop.
The
Futures for UX Index 6.11. Technical analysis.
On the 4-houred
timeframe the price placed below the Parabolic indicator. Stochastic and RSI
formed signs to purchase. The trend is bearish.
On the quarter
timeframe the price placed below the Parabolic indicator. Oscillators do not
give the univocal signs. The trend is lateral.
Analytical department of IC IFG
CAPITAL forecasts index and futures decrease by the end of trade session.
