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Analytics and Market news

Tuesday, 6 September 2011

Claim of Barack Obama will support markets

IC IFG CAPITAL, Alexey Sidorov

On Monday 05.09.2011 the majority of liquid shares of domestic issuers suffered substantial losses. Trade volume on the UX market of applications increased, though American market, which is the main indicator for Ukrainian investors, was not active. This fact speaks for bearish trend reinforcement.
Quotations drop on the European stock markets became the main decreasing driver, caused by the relapse of “default fever”, by delaying of decision-making concerning the next financial tranche to Greece and following political problems of donor countries.
It is worth to note the claim of Barak Obama concerning the attempt to support the issuing of financial assets for repairing and modernization of roads and bridges and prolongation of terms of federal tax cuts on wages
Speech of Herman Van Rompuy, permanent Chairman of European Council, may also support the quotations. In this speech Herman expressed his firmness in fast finding the decision appropriate to Finland’s demands concerning guarantees provision for credit transferring to Greece, confirmed by all countries of Euro-zone. This information may temporarily destress the debt market.
Asian investors reacted to the European situation with sales. Chinese SSEC, Japanese Nikkei, Korean KOSPI lost by 0,46 %, 2,21 %, 1,07 % respectively.Temp of growth of Korean GDP exceeded the expected value by 0,2%, but it could not hold KOSPI in green zone.
Russian RTS index opened the day in the negative territory.

External background on the opening may be estimated as negative.

Following substantial statistics will be published today:

12:00 GDP, Euro-zone

13:00 Industrial orders, Germany

17:00 Non-industrial index of National Association of Bulk Purchase Management, the USA

The Futures for UX Index 9.11. Technical analysis.
On the 4-houred timeframe the price placed below the Parabolic indicator. MACD formed the sign to sell. Stochastic and RSI are close to their minimal values. The trend is bearish.
On the quarter timeframe the price placed below the Parabolic indicator. Oscillators are in reselling zone, but do not give any univocal sign. The trend is bearish.

Analytical department of IC IFG CAPITAL forecasts index and futures increase by the end of trade session, if index is fixed higher than 1600 points level in the 1st half of trade session.



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