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Analytics and Market news

Tuesday, 25 October 2011

Optimistic charge from Germany

IC IFG CAPITAL, Alexey Sidorov

This week started with active purchasing on global stocks within the expectations of agreement package concerning the struggle with debt crisis and Chinese business activity increase. UX index showed the record growth with rapidly increased trade volumes.

European optimism if kept without noticing the low quantity of specific agreements and complicated negotiations with Greece’s bonds holders. Despite the October decrease of manufacturing activity in Europe, European exchanges closed with growth.

Corporate reports in the USA still support quotations.

By analyst of IC IFG CAPITAL Alexey Sidorov, placement of the USA bonds makes a serious danger for bulls today. The Treasury plans to sell the 2-year notes for $35 billion. Market liquididty usually decreases before such events and news background rapidly worsens.

Quotations could be supported by favorable report of Deutsche Bank AG, which received EUR 777 million of net profits in the 3rd quarter. Analysts forecasted the net profit of EUR 425 million. The net income of the company totaled EUR 7,3 billion, which is 47% higher than in previous year.

Consumer trust index of Germany increased more than expected, which is a positive sign too. The figure made 5,3 points in November versus 5,1 expected and 5,2 previously.

Following substantial statistics will be published today:

17:00 Conference Board Consumer Sentiment Index (the USA).

Asian indices demonstrate different dynamics. Chinese SSEC increased by 1,51%. Japanese Nikkei and Korean KOSPI lost 0,92 %, 0,51 % respectively.

EUR-USD exchange rate made a downgrading correction.

Russian RTS index opened the day with a growth.

Neutral external background was formed on the opening.

The Futures for UX – UX-12.11. Technical analysis.

On the 4-houred timeframe the price is above the Parabolic indicator. Stochastic and RSI are in zone of reselling. The trend is bullish.

On the quarter timeframe the price placed above the Parabolic indicator. Oscillators are close to their minimal values. The trend is bullish.

Analytical department of IC IFG CAPITAL forecasts Futures and Index increase by the end of trade session, if index is fixed higher than 1350 points level in the first half of the day.

IC IFG CAPITAL, LLC

Alexey Sidorov

www.ik.ifgcapital.com.ua

www.ifgcapital.com.ua



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