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Analytics and Market news

Friday, 28 October 2011

Markets wait for the next steps of European leaders

IC IFG CAPITAL, Alexey Sidorov

Yesterday domestic stock indicators showed the record quotation growth, affected by the new Euro-optimism splash, caused by the termination if agreement concerning banks recapitalization and EFSF enlargement to EUR 1 trillion, by decisions of Japan and China to support EFSF enlargement program. All shares of UX index basket were traded on the positive territory, trade volume on the market of applications increased.

The second splash of growth started after receiving favorable statistics of American GDP, which showed the maximal growth during a year. Statistics ad corporate reports appeared to be better than expected in total. Herewith, quotations were supported by the factor of financial year termination for large funds.

Among important news it is worth to admit the report of AMD corporation, which showed profits the same as in previous period - $0,15 per share against $0,10 expected.

y analyst of IC IFG CAPITAL Alexey Sidorov, the main growing drivers are expectation of the next steps to be taken against debt crisis by European leaders and termination of the USA financial year.

Following substantial statistics will be published today:

15:30 Basic index of expenses on private needs (the USA)

15:30 Private expenses (the USA)

15:30 Workforce value index (the USA)

16:55 Michigan university consumer sentiment index

Asian indices demonstrate ascending dynamics. Chinese SSEC, Japanese Nikkei, Korean KOSPI increased by 1,32 %,  1,39 %, 0,39 % respectively. Japanese statistics is different but purchases affected by bullish signs from Europe prevail.

Industrial manufacture decreased by 4,0% (by preliminary information) in September, against -2,1% expected and +0,6% previously. Unemployment level of Japan unexpectedly decreased in September to 4,1% (the lowest since January 2009). It appeared to be better than expected – 4,5%.

EUR-USD exchange rate and Brent oil price consolidate under local minimums.

Russian RTS index opened the day with growth.

Positive external background was formed on the opening. The situation is unstable, because oil and EUR-USD show the high chance of correction after yesterday great growth.

The Futures for UX – UX-12.11. Technical analysis.

On the 4-houred timeframe the price is above the Parabolic indicator. MACD formed the sign to buy.. The trend is bullish.

On the quarter timeframe the price placed above the Parabolic indicator. Oscillators do not give the univocal signs. The trend is bullish.

Analytical department of IC IFG CAPITAL forecasts Futures and Index decrease by the end of trade session, if index is not fixed above 1500 points level in the first half of the day.

IC IFG CAPITAL, LLC

Alexey Sidorov

www.ik.ifgcapital.com.ua

www.ifgcapital.com.ua



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