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Analytics and Market news

Monday, 31 October 2011

Pessimism returns to the European markets

ИК ИФГ КАПИТАЛ, Сидоров Алексей

Domestic stock indices closed the week in the green zone. UX index renewed its month’s maximum on Friday, but later corrected downwards because of sentiments worsening on European stocks caused by doubts in credibility and efficiency of agreements reached on the last EU summit.

The majority of UX index basket shares were traded in the positive territory.

Trade volumes on the market of applications increased. By analyst of IC IFG CAPITAL Alexey Sidorov, price and volume dynamics spoke for bullish moods domination despite the great growth before and Friday factor.

Pessimism prevailed on the European stocks. Only German DAX showed growth (+0,13%). The USA indices majorly showed the slight growth affected by favorable corporate reports and different statistics. We remind you, that investors were disappointed by the basic price index of private expenses and workforce value index.

Following substantial statistics will be published today:

11:00 Consumer price index (euro-zone)

11:00 Unemployment index (euro-zone)

14:45 Business activity index of Chicago management association (the USA)

Asian indices give up their positions. Chinese SSEC, Japanese Nikkei, Korean KOSPI lost by 0,21 %,  0,69 %, 1,06 % respectively. Korean index could not resist the regional trend despite the good data on industrial manufacture. This index increased by 1,1% in September against +0,2% expected and -1,9% previously.

In comparison with the previous year, industrial manufacture increased by 6,8%, against +4,7% expected and +4,8% expected.

Japanese statistics is also positive. Business activity index in industrial sphere totaled 50,6 points in October, against 49,3 points previously.

EUR-USD exchange rate and Brent oil price show decrease.

Russian RTS index opened the day on the negative territory.

Negative external background was formed on the opening. There is a high chance of correction in Europe. Discussions of details concerning realization of measures of debt crisis struggle and claims of rating agencies of intentions to announce the default of Greece may become a trigger.

The Futures for UX – UX-12.11. Technical analysis.

On the 4-houred timeframe the price is below the Parabolic indicator. Oscillators do not give the univocal signs.  The trend is bullish.

On the quarter timeframe the price placed below the Parabolic indicator. Oscillators formed the sign to buy. The trend is lateral.

Analytical department of IC IFG CAPITAL forecasts Futures and Index decrease by the end of trade session.

IC IFG CAPITAL, LLC
Alexey Sidorov

www.ik.ifgcapital.com.ua

www.ifgcapital.com.ua



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