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Analytics and Market news

Wednesday, 9 November 2011

Inflation decrease in China supports markets

IC IFG CAPITAL, Alexey Sidorov

On Tuesday, 08.11.2011, domestic stock indicators showed substantial growth following Europe. All shares of UX index basket were on the positive territory. Trade activity increased. By analyst of IC IFG CAPITAL, Alexey Sidorov, bullish moods are also proved by UX index confident overcome of resistance level about 1480-1490 points. Optimism is brought to the markets by meeting of Eurogroup, by expectation of coalitional government in Greece formation in the nearest time and by political crisis in Italy outcome.

The USA indices showed growth too despite the lowered liquidity caused by primary placement of bonds.

Among important news it is worth to admit Italian parliament approved the report of budget performance made by government on the previous year. Another important piece of news is intention of Silvio Berlusconi to resign because of the split in ruling coalition. Power consolidation will allow calming down investors to Italian bonds.

We remind you that profitability on these securities set the new records.

Share rates will be restrained on the USA stocks by auction on treasury notes. It is planned to sell 10-year bonds for $24 billion.

Asian indices demonstrate the growing dynamics. Chinese SSEC, Japanese Nikkei, Korean KOSPI increased by 0,46 %, 1,15 %, 0,23 % respectively. The main positive in China appeared to be from slow down of price rate of increase. In general, weak macro indicators were ignored. Consumer price index increased by 0,1% in October, meeting expectations and against +0,5% previously. In comparison with the previous year, consumer price index increased by 5,5%, meeting expectations and against +6,1% previously. Industrial manufacturing in October increased by 13,2% against 13,4% expected and +13,8% previously. Retailing sales index decreased in October more than expected. Investments to the realty exceeded expectations of analysts. Increasing factor also appeared to be the decrease of unemployment level in South Korea (from 3,2% to 3,1%).

Russian RTS index opened the day on the positive territory.

Positive external background was formed on the opening.

The Futures for UX – UX-12.11. Technical analysis.

On the 4-houred timeframe the price is above the Parabolic indicator. Oscillators do not give the univocal signs. The trend is bullish.

On the quarter timeframe the price placed below the Parabolic indicator. Oscillators do not give the univocal signs. The trend is bullish.

Analytical department of IC IFG CAPITAL forecasts Futures and Index decrease by the end of trade session, if index is not fixed higher than 1500 points in the first half of the day.

IC IFG CAPITAL, LLC

Alexey Sidorov

www.ik.ifgcapital.com.ua
www.ifgcapital.com.ua



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