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Analytics and Market news

Friday, 25 November 2011

Spread of debt crisis

IC IFG CAPITAL, Alexey Sidorov

On Thursday, 24.11.11 domestic stock market successfully resisted external negative. European indices stepped into the red zone, affected by the information of Portugal credit rating decrease and claim of German Chancellor of non-admission the idea of Euro-region bonds. The majority of shares of UX index basket were traded in the green zone. Trade activity on the market of applications slightly increased. There was a record high spread index – the nearest futures reached 73,17 points.

Serious news on Euro-region is absent today. Politicians drew the next range of declarations. Accordingly to the claim of Nicolas Sarcozy, changes of European convention from France and Germany will be published before the EU summit on December 9, 2011. Meanwhile, debt crisis is spread out of limits of Euro-region. Moody's Investors Service downgraded the sovereign credit rating of Hungary by 1 step – from Baa3 to Ba1 with a negative outlook.

Bearish moods in the USA are forced with threats of price fall for EU bonds to break the financial stability of American banks. Credit default swaps for Bank of America increased to 495 points, which significantly exceeded the previous maximum.

Asian stock indices decrease. Chinese SSEC, Japanese Nikkei, Korean KOSPI lost by 0,72 %, 0,06 %, 1,04% respectively.

EUR-USD exchange rate and Brent oil price demonstrate fall.

Russian RTS index opened the day on the negative territory.

Negative external background was formed on the opening.

The Futures for UX – UX-12.11. Technical analysis.

On the 4-houred timeframe the price is below the Parabolic indicator. Oscillators are in zone of reselling. MACD keeps the sign to sell. The trend is bearish.

On the quarter timeframe the price placed below the Parabolic indicator. MACD formed the sign to sell. The trend is bearish.

Analytical department of IC IFG CAPITAL estimates the today market situation as neutral. The majority of UX index basket securities are in the zone of consolidation between the strong level, and drivers of strong movements will likely not be seen today. There are no substantial events planned, the USA activity is decreased because of reduced working day.

IC IFG CAPITAL, LLC

Alexey Sidorov

ik.ifgcapital.com.ua
www.ifgcapital.com.ua



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