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Analytics and Market news

Tuesday, 29 November 2011

EFSF will help us

IC IFG CAPITAL, Alexey Sidorov

European and American stock indicators opened the week with a growth, affected by hopes for EFSF enlargement coordination in the nearest time and with acceleration on budget integration inside Euro-region.

The majority of shares of UX index basket were traded in green zone. Trade volume on the market of applications slightly decreased.

Morning news is unfavorable for stock assets.

Standard & Poor's are willing to downgrade forecast on credit rating of France to negative in the nearest 10 days, which may be a sign of probable downgrade from AAA current level.

Analysts of Fitch Agency downgraded the USA credit rating outlook from “stable” to “negative”, due super-committee is not able to coordinate the measures of budget deficit decrease.

Moody’s Investors Service announced that it considers possibility of downgrading banking credit rating in 15 European countries within the probable governmental support reduce in the region.

Herewith, despite the rating agencies intrigues, moods on European stocks stay bullish. Today meeting of EU ministers of finance is a short-term speculative idea. Participants expect from it announcement of date when more active purchase of sovereign debts is planned to occur.

Placement of Italy’s bonds will probably become the bearish factor today. It is planned to sell securities for EUR8 billion.

Following statistics will be published today:

17:00 Consumer sentiment index of the USA (Conference board)

Asian stock indices grow. Chinese SSEC, Japanese Nikkei, Korean KOSPI increased by 1,11 %, 2,30 %, 2,27 % respectively. Japan published different statistics. Unemployment level totaled 4,5% in October, against 4,2% expected and 4,2% previously. Retail sales in October significantly grew, exceeding the forecasted value.

EUR-USD exchange rate and Brent oil price show growth.

Russian RTS index is on the negative territory.

Positive external background was formed on the opening.

The Futures for UX – UX-12.11. Technical analysis.

On the 4-houred timeframe the price is above the Parabolic indicator. Oscillators formed the sign to purchase. The trend is lateral.

On the quarter timeframe the price placed above the Parabolic indicator. MACD formed the sign to sell. The trend is bullish.

Analytical department of IC IFG CAPITAL forecasts index and futures decrease by the results of the trade session, if index is not fixed upper the 1550 limit in the first half of the day.

IC IFG CAPITAL, LLC

Alexey Sidorov

ik.ifgcapital.com.ua
www.ifgcapital.com.ua



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