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Analytics and Market news

Wednesday, 14 December 2011

Bulls did not receive gifts from Bernanke

IC IFG CAPITAL, Alexey Sidorov

On Tuesday 13.12.2011 European stock indices moved in different directions after the great fall in the beginning of the week. Successful Spanish and EFSF bills placement and positive German economic sentiments statistics became the reasons of optimism. In the end of trade session, German DAX and French CAC stepped to the negative territory after the claim of German Chancellor against the increasing the upper limit of ESM (permanent fund to start operating in 2012) financing. British FTSE managed to hold in the green zone.

Trades in the USA had the similar history. Quotations grew in the beginning of the trade despite weak retail sales statistics. FRS representative speech was not surprising. Ben Bernanke did not give any present to bulls. After this indices forwarded downwards. We remind you that the USA FRS kept the basis account rate of 0 – 0.25%. Macro-economic comments were neutral too.

The majority of shares of UX index basket were traded in the red zone. Trade activity on the market of applications stayed at the low level.

By analyst of IC IFG CAPITAL Alexey Sidorov, the decrease of EUR-UDS exchange rate to the minimal level since January 2011 may worsen the conditions of EU bonds placement, planned for today. This way, bond markets may make the unpleasant gift today.

Following substantial statistics will be published today:

12:00 Industrial manufacturing in Euro-region.

15:30 Import price index (the USA)

Asian stock indices demonstrate the downgrading trend, affected by external factors. Chinese SSEC, Japanese Nikkei, Korean KOSPI lost by 0,89 %, 0,33%, 0,34 %  respectively. Bears were supported with weak industrial manufacture of Japan (reconsideration of October statistics). This index grew by 2.2%, against +2.4% previously.

Russian RTS index opened the day on the negative territory.

Negative external background was formed on the opening. But situation is unstable, because upward euro correction is possible.

The Futures for UX – UX-12.11. Technical analysis.

On the 4-houred timeframe the price is below the Parabolic indicator. Signs to sell dominate. The trend is bearish.

On the quarter timeframe the price broke the upper line of the Parabolic indicator. Stochastic and RSI formed the signs to sell. The trend is lateral.

Analytical department of IC IFG CAPITAL forecasts index and futures decrease by the results of the trade session.

IC IFG CAPITAL, LLC

Alexey Sidorov

ik.ifgcapital.com.ua
www.ifgcapital.com.ua



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