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Analytics and Market news

Wednesday, 28 December 2011

Pre-New Year deleverage

IC IFG CAPITAL, Alexey Sidorov

On Tuesday 27.12.2011 UX index stepped out of the red zone despite bulls dominate on European and American stocks. Trade activity on the market of applications slightly increased, but is still at the low level. The majority of shares of index basket showed the negative result. Analyst of IC IFG CAPITAL Alexey Sidorov believes that this situation is explained with “cutting shoulders” on ling positions by speculators before the New Year holidays within the absence of purchasers.

European indicators were kept in the green zone despite the bearish signs from Italy’s bonds market and EU money market. Yield of 10-year Italian bonds exceeded 7% annually. 1-day deposits of commercial banks on accounts of ECB fixed the new historical maximum of EUR411.8 billion. The last fact is the witness that recent actions of ECB on liquidity growth did not lead to the desired result.

The USA indices moved in different dynamics. Support was rendered by positive consumer trust statistics. We remind you that consumer trust index to the USA economy in December grew to 64.5 points, the maximum level since April 2011.

The information from Iran, with threats to block the oil export through the Strait of Hormuz within sanctions implementation by the West, became the decreasing driver.

Today players will follow the results if auction on Italy’s bonds placement, where it is planned to place securities for EUR11.5 billion.

Asian stock indices move in different directions. Chinese SSEC increased by 0.18%. Japanese Nikkei, Korean KOSPI lost by 0.20%, 0.92% respectively. Macro-economic indicators of Japan are negative.

Retail sales decreased by 2.3% in November, against +0.1% expected and +1.9% previously. Industrial manufacture accordingly to preliminary information decreased by 2.6% in November, against -0.8% expected.

Russian RTS index opened the day in the red zone.

Negative external background was formed on the opening. From the other hand, support to the Russian market will be supported by Iran factor improvement via oil. Considerably favorable placement of Italian bonds is able to change investors’ moods.

Analytical department of IC IFG CAPITAL forecasts index and futures growth by the results of trade session as a result of financial level decrease by long-position holders.

IC IFG CAPITAL

Alexey Sidorov

www.ik.ifgcapital.com.ua

www.ifgcapital.com.ua



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