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Analytics and Market news

Wednesday, 25 January 2012

Politicians support stock markets

IC IFG CAPITAL, Alexey Sidorov

On Tuesday 24.01.2012 domestic investors reacted with sales to the technical correction on developed markets. All shares of UX index basket were traded on the negative territory. But speaking of descending trend formation is not allowed by low trade activity on the market of applications. This figure is decreasing during last three days.

Europe has finally paid attention to unsolved Greece’s problems. Stock indices stayed in the red zone despite the positive manufacturing activity data, new manufacturing orders, favorable placement of Spanish bills. Manufacturing orders volume in Euro-region decreased by 1.3% in November 2011 against the previous month. Analysts expected that this figure will decrease by 2.2% by the month. By the results of auction, Spanish government managed to place short-term governmental bonds termed 3 and 6 months and draw EUR2.510 billion. High demand was seen, yield decreased. Euro-region business activity in manufacturing and non-manufacturing spheres increased more than expected in January.

European negative was played in the USA despite corporate reports surprised positively. Indices significantly increased losses by the end of trade session. Du Pont, Jonhson & Jonhson, Mc Donalds increased their profits per share, exceeding expectations of analysts. Verizon’s report disappointed investors.

Bulls’ activity contains favorable corporate reports of the USA and word interventions of European and American politicians which make Greece problem to step on the second plan. Apple, AMD increased its profits per share more than expected in the 4th quarter. We estimate profit per share of Yahoo as neutral.

By Olli Rehn, Head of Euro-Commission, negotiations of Greece’s government with private creditors made progress and are close to successful termination.

Germany is ready to increase the resources of EFSF to EUR750 billion in case of taking the more mitigated rules of budget discipline by all EU countries.

Bears’ activity contains IMF downgraded forecast on global economy, negative outlooks on Japanese People’s bank GDP and start of the next series of debt auctions in the USA. 2-year notes will be placed for $35 billion.

Japanese growth estimation for 2012 was decreased from 2.2% to 2%.

Positive external background was formed on the opening. By analyst of IC IFG CAPITAL Alexey Sidorov, this background will be supported by the claims of responsible persons, noting the economy forum in Davos and close approach of EU summit.

Forward market analysis. Put/Call Ratio decreased to 0.37. The signal is bullish.

Analytical department of IC IFG CAPITAL forecasts index and futures growth by the results of trade session.

IC IFG CAPITAL, LLC

Alexey Sidorov

ik.ifgcapital.com.ua
www.ifgcapital.com.ua



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