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Analytics and Market news

Thursday, 9 February 2012

China plays for bears again

IC IFG CAPITAL, Alexey Sidorov

On Wednesday 08.02.2012 domestic stock indicators kept climbing following European ones. The majority of shares of UX index basket were traded in the green zone. Trade volume on the market of applications significantly decreased. It is worth to admit the appearance of the first sign of possible turn downwards. Shares of Motor Sich which traditionally advance index dropped within the substantial trade activity. Main drivers in Europe are events around Greece. Morning optimism disappeared by the end of trade session when it became clear that agreements of Greece Premier with “the Tree” mission may become not final due to problems in their accordance in Parliament. The USA indices showed slight growth.

By analyst of IC IFG CAPITAL Alexey Sidorov, today moods of investors on the opening will be determined by negative statistics of Chinese consumer prices, good financial results of Walt Disney and Cisco Systems, speeding of mitigation measures approval by Greece Parliament.

Consumer inflation in CPR increased to 4.5% (annually) against the minimal since November 2010 level of 4.1% reached in December 2011. It was expected to be at 4.0% level. Inflation at level higher than objected cannot let Chinese government to realize the policy of preventing economic growth slowdown.

Walt Disney and Cisco Systems increased their profits per share in the 4th quarter. These indices exceeded expectations. Leaders of Greece political parties agreed the majority of questions connected to specification of plan on state expense reduce. Question on changes in pension legislations is still relevant. This news is positive for markets. Fact of Greece’s private investors meeting today to discuss conditions of Greece bonds exchange and cut-off the part of debt, changed position of ECB concerning writing off bonds which belong to it are positive factors today.

Neutral external background was formed on the opening.

The Futures for UX – UX-3.12. Technical analysis.

On the 4-houred timeframe the price placed above the Parabolic indicator. Oscillators do not give the univocal signs. The trend is bullish.

On the quarter timeframe the price placed below the Parabolic indicator. Oscillators show the neutral dynamics. The trend is bullish.

Analytical department of IC IFG CAPITAL forecasts index and futures neutral dynamics by the end of trade session. Wide sales are prevented by expectations of progress in Greece. Confident growth is prevented by reselling on global markets.

IC IFG CAPITAL, LLC

Alexey Sidorov

ik.ifgcapital.com.ua
www.ifgcapital.com.ua



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